Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine Engineering of Ministry of Education, Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China.
School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing 211166, China.
Viruses. 2023 Oct 6;15(10):2053. doi: 10.3390/v15102053.
HIV-related spatial analysis studies in China are relatively few, and Jiangsu Province has not reported the relevant data in recent years. To describe the spatial distribution and molecular linkage characteristics of HIV-infected patients, this article combined descriptive epidemiology, spatial analysis, and molecular epidemiology methods to analyze patient reporting, patient mobility information, and HIV sequence information simultaneously. The results showed that HIV reporting profiles differed among Jiangsu cities, with the reporting rate in southern Jiangsu being above average. There was a spatial autocorrelation (Global Moran I = 0.5426, < 0.05), with Chang Zhou showing a High-High aggregation pattern. Chang Zhou and Wu Xi were identified as hotspots for HIV reporting and access to molecular transmission networks. Some infected individuals still showed cross-city or even cross-province mobility after diagnosis, and three were linked with individuals in the destination cities within the largest molecular transmission cluster, involving 196 patients. The cross-city or cross-province mobility of patients may result in a potential HIV transmission risk, suggesting that combining timely social network surveys, building an extensive transmission network across cities and provinces, and taking critical regions and key populations as entry points could contribute to improved prevention and control efficiency and promote achievement of the 95-95-95 target and cascade.
中国的 HIV 相关空间分析研究相对较少,江苏省近年来也没有报告相关数据。为了描述 HIV 感染者的空间分布和分子连锁特征,本文结合描述性流行病学、空间分析和分子流行病学方法,同时分析了患者报告、患者流动信息和 HIV 序列信息。结果表明,江苏省各城市的 HIV 报告模式存在差异,苏南地区的报告率高于平均水平。存在空间自相关(全局 Moran I = 0.5426,<0.05),常州呈现高-高聚集模式。常州和无锡被确定为 HIV 报告和获得分子传播网络的热点地区。一些感染者在诊断后仍表现出跨城市甚至跨省份的流动性,其中三人与最大分子传播簇内的目的地城市的个体相关联,涉及 196 名患者。患者的跨城市或跨省份流动可能会带来潜在的 HIV 传播风险,这表明结合及时的社会网络调查,建立跨城市和省份的广泛传播网络,并以关键地区和重点人群为切入点,可能有助于提高预防和控制效率,并促进实现 95-95-95 目标和级联。