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挪威百岁老人死亡年龄趋势:1870-1904 年出生队列。

Trends in ages at death of Norwegian centenarians: the 1870-1904 birth cohorts.

机构信息

Center on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark, Denmark.

Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Norway.

出版信息

Scand J Public Health. 2024 Nov;52(7):878-883. doi: 10.1177/14034948231206529. Epub 2023 Oct 29.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

With rapidly rising life expectancy and ageing populations, interest has grown in the survival patterns and ages at death at the highest ages. In Scandinavia, the accumulation of very old population segments coupled with long-established, high-quality population registers permit meaningful analysis.

METHODS

This study is based on individual level data from extinct Norwegian birth cohorts using data obtained from the Norwegian Civil Register System. We assess trends in the ages at death of centenarians in Norway for cohorts born between 1870 and 1904 for evidence of any secular increase using quantile regression.

RESULTS

We observed that there is no upward trend in centenarian lifespans, in line with recent observations in Sweden, but contrary to the upward trend at the very highest percentiles as observed in Denmark.

CONCLUSIONS

.

摘要

背景

随着预期寿命的快速增长和人口老龄化,人们对最高年龄的生存模式和死亡年龄越来越感兴趣。在斯堪的纳维亚,非常老年人口群体的积累加上长期存在的、高质量的人口登记册,使得有意义的分析成为可能。

方法

本研究基于从已灭绝的挪威出生队列获得的个体水平数据,使用从挪威公民登记系统获得的数据。我们使用分位数回归评估了 1870 年至 1904 年期间出生的挪威百岁老人的死亡年龄趋势,以寻找任何与世俗增长相关的证据。

结果

我们观察到,百岁老人的寿命没有上升趋势,这与瑞典最近的观察结果一致,但与丹麦观察到的最高百分位数的上升趋势相反。

结论

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