Tian Yao, Guo Lihong
School of Economics and Management, Northwest University, Xi'an, 710127, China.
Heliyon. 2023 Oct 16;9(10):e21087. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e21087. eCollection 2023 Oct.
Digital technologies are empowering economic and social development, which attracts scholars' attention to the relationship between digitalization and economic resilience, However, the empirical analysis for different countries and stages of development are inconsistent, and the influencing mechanism need to be further explored. Using panel data for 284 prefecture-level cities in China from 2007 to 2020, this study examines the impact of urban digital development on economic resilience. The findings are as follows: (1) The increased digitalization significantly enhances the urban economic resilience, and this effect was more pronounced in eastern regions and large-scale cities. (2) The relationship between digitalization and economic resilience follows an inverted U-shape as population density increases. (3) The spatial effects show that increased digitalization has a significant positive effect on local economic resilience, but weakens the resilience of the surrounding areas. (4) The analysis of mechanism reveals that the positive impact of digitalization on the urban economic resilience is mainly achieved by improving the quality of the regional labor force and total factor productivity. The study provides theoretical and empirical evidence for accelerating the digital construction, fully releasing the digital dividend in order to strengthen economic resilience.
数字技术正在推动经济和社会发展,这吸引了学者们对数字化与经济韧性之间关系的关注。然而,针对不同国家和发展阶段的实证分析并不一致,其影响机制有待进一步探索。本研究利用2007年至2020年中国284个地级市的面板数据,考察了城市数字发展对经济韧性的影响。研究结果如下:(1)数字化程度的提高显著增强了城市经济韧性,且这种效应在东部地区和大城市更为明显。(2)随着人口密度的增加,数字化与经济韧性之间的关系呈倒U形。(3)空间效应表明,数字化程度的提高对当地经济韧性有显著的正向影响,但会削弱周边地区的韧性。(4)机制分析表明,数字化对城市经济韧性的积极影响主要通过提高区域劳动力素质和全要素生产率来实现。该研究为加快数字建设、充分释放数字红利以增强经济韧性提供了理论和实证依据。