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孟加拉国的金融发展、侨汇与经济增长:三者之间的关系是否不对称?

Financial progress, inward remittances, and economic growth in Bangladesh: Is the nexus asymmetric?

作者信息

Golder Uttam, Rumaly Nishat, Hossain Mohammad Kamal, Nigar Meher

机构信息

Department of Finance and Banking, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore-7408, Bangladesh.

Department of Accounting and Information Systems, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore-7408, Bangladesh.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Mar 11;9(3):e14454. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e14454. eCollection 2023 Mar.

Abstract

Prior studies in Bangladesh examined the effects of financial progress and inward remittances on economic growth and postulated a symmetrical relationship, ignoring the potential asymmetrical relationship between variables. Therefore, this study intends to explore the asymmetrical effects of financial progress and remittances on economic growth in Bangladesh. The study used yearly time series data from 1988 to 2020 and employed the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. Our study confirmed the asymmetrical effects of financial progress and remittances on economic growth and revealed a long-run association between the variables being studied. The study's novelties are that both positive and negative fluctuations in financial progress and remittances boost Bangladesh's economic growth. Thus, it is essential to enact policies that support financial progress by ensuring sustainable development in financial institutions and financial markets. In addition, remittances should be employed for productive purposes rather than only for consumption to improve the country's economic backbone.

摘要

孟加拉国此前的研究考察了金融发展和侨汇流入对经济增长的影响,并假定了一种对称关系,而忽略了变量之间潜在的不对称关系。因此,本研究旨在探究金融发展和侨汇对孟加拉国经济增长的不对称影响。该研究使用了1988年至2020年的年度时间序列数据,并采用了非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型。我们的研究证实了金融发展和侨汇对经济增长的不对称影响,并揭示了所研究变量之间的长期关联。该研究的新颖之处在于,金融发展和侨汇的正向和负向波动均推动了孟加拉国的经济增长。因此,通过确保金融机构和金融市场的可持续发展来制定支持金融发展的政策至关重要。此外,应将侨汇用于生产目的而非仅用于消费,以增强该国的经济支柱。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5e99/10031341/adb2faaee12f/gr1.jpg

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