四项炎症指标与非创伤性蛛网膜下腔出血危重症患者全因死亡率的关系:对 MIMIC-IV 数据库(2012-2019 年)的回顾性分析。

Association between a four-parameter inflammatory index and all-cause mortality in critical ill patients with non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database (2012-2019).

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, Mianyang Central Hospital, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Mianyang, Sichuan, China.

Department of Immunology, Mianyang Central Hospital, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Mianyang, Sichuan, China.

出版信息

Front Immunol. 2023 Oct 23;14:1235266. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2023.1235266. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), primarily due to the rupture of intracranial aneurysms, contributes significantly to the global stroke population. A novel biomarker, pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) or called the aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI), linked to progression-free survival and overall survival in non-small-cell lung cancer and mortality in Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients, has surfaced recently. Its role in non-traumatic SAH patients, however, remains under-researched. This study aims to determine the relationship between PIV and all-cause mortality in non-traumatic SAH patients.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database to examine the association between PIV and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with non-traumatic SAH. PIV measurements were collected at Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, and several mortality measures were examined. To control for potential confounding effects, a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) method was applied. The optimal PIV cutoff value was identified as 1362.45 using X-tile software that is often used to calculate the optimal cut-off values in survival analysis and continuous data of medical or epidemiological research. The relationship between PIV and short- and long-term all-cause mortality was analyzed using a multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model and Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curve analysis. Interaction and subgroup analyses were also carried out.

RESULTS

The study included 774 non-traumatic SAH patients. After PSM, 241 pairs of score-matched patients were generated. The Cox proportional hazard model, adjusted for potential confounders, found a high PIV (≥ 1362.45) independently associated with 90-day all-cause mortality both pre- (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.67; 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.05-2.65; P = 0.030) and post-PSM (HR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.14-2.67; P = 0.042). K-M survival curves revealed lower 90-day survival rates in patients with PIV ≥ 1362.45 before (31.1% vs. 16.1%%, P < 0.001) and after PSM (68.9% vs. 80.9%, P < 0.001). Similarly, elevated PIV were associated with increased risk of ICU (pre-PSM: HR: 2.10; 95% CI: 1.12-3.95; P = 0.02; post-PSM: HR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.11-4.91; P = 0.016), in-hospital (pre-PSM: HR: 1.91; 95% CI: 1.12-3.26; P = 0.018; post-PSM: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.10-3.84; P = 0.034), 30-day (pre-PSM: HR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.01-2.82; P = 0.045; post-PSM: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.11-2.97; P = 0.047), and 1-year (pre-PSM: HR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.04-2.40; P = 0.032; post-PSM: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.10-2.53; P = 0.044) all-cause mortality. The K-M survival curves confirmed lower survival rates in patients with higher PIV both pre- and post PSM for ICU (pre-PSM: 18.3% vs. 8.4%, P < 0.001; post-PSM:81.7 vs. 91.3%, P < 0.001), in-hospital (pre-PSM: 25.3% vs. 12.8%, P < 0.001; post-PSM: 75.1 vs. 88.0%, P < 0.001), 30-day (pre-PSM: 24.9% vs. 11.4%, P < 0.001; post-PSM:74.7 vs. 86.3%, P < 0.001), and 1-year (pre-PSM: 36.9% vs. 20.8%, P < 0.001; P = 0.02; post-PSM: 63.1 vs. 75.1%, P < 0.001) all-cause mortality. Stratified analyses indicated that the relationship between PIV and all-cause mortality varied across different subgroups.

CONCLUSION

In critically ill patients suffering from non-traumatic SAH, an elevated PIV upon admission correlated with a rise in all-cause mortality at various stages, including ICU, in-hospital, the 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality, solidifying its position as an independent mortality risk determinant. This study represents an attempt to bridge the current knowledge gap and to provide a more nuanced understanding of the role of inflammation-based biomarkers in non-traumatic SAH. Nevertheless, to endorse the predictive value of PIV for prognosticating outcomes in non-traumatic SAH patients, additional prospective case-control studies are deemed necessary.

摘要

背景

非创伤性蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)主要由颅内动脉瘤破裂引起,在全球脑卒中患者中占很大比例。Pan-immune-inflammation value(PIV)或称为系统性炎症综合指数(AISI)是一种新的生物标志物,与非小细胞肺癌的无进展生存期和总生存期以及 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者的死亡率相关,最近已经出现。然而,它在非创伤性 SAH 患者中的作用仍有待研究。本研究旨在确定 PIV 与非创伤性 SAH 患者全因死亡率之间的关系。

方法

使用来自医疗信息监测 ICU(MIMIC-IV)数据库的回顾性分析,检查重症监护病房(ICU)中患有非创伤性 SAH 的危重病患者的 PIV 与全因死亡率之间的关联。在 ICU 入院时收集 PIV 测量值,并检查了几种死亡率指标。为了控制潜在的混杂效应,应用了 1:1 倾向评分匹配(PSM)方法。使用 X-tile 软件确定了最佳的 PIV 截断值,X-tile 软件常用于计算生存分析和医学或流行病学研究中连续数据的最佳截断值。使用多变量 Cox 比例风险回归模型和 Kaplan-Meier(K-M)生存曲线分析来分析 PIV 与短期和长期全因死亡率之间的关系。还进行了交互和亚组分析。

结果

本研究纳入了 774 例非创伤性 SAH 患者。经过 PSM 后,生成了 241 对评分匹配的患者。多变量 Cox 比例风险模型,调整了潜在混杂因素后,发现入院时高 PIV(≥1362.45)与 90 天内全因死亡率独立相关,包括 ICU 入住前(风险比[HR]:1.67;95%置信区间[CI]:1.05-2.65;P=0.030)和 PSM 后(HR:1.58;95% CI:1.14-2.67;P=0.042)。K-M 生存曲线显示,在 PSM 前,PIV≥1362.45 的患者 90 天生存率较低(31.1% vs. 16.1%,P<0.001),在 PSM 后(68.9% vs. 80.9%,P<0.001)。同样,较高的 PIV 与 ICU(PSM 前:HR:2.10;95% CI:1.12-3.95;P=0.02;PSM 后:HR:2.33;95% CI:1.11-4.91;P=0.016)、住院期间(PSM 前:HR:1.91;95% CI:1.12-3.26;P=0.018;PSM 后:2.06;95% CI:1.10-3.84;P=0.034)、30 天(PSM 前:HR:1.69;95% CI:1.01-2.82;P=0.045;PSM 后:1.66;95% CI:1.11-2.97;P=0.047)和 1 年(PSM 前:HR:1.58;95% CI:1.04-2.40;P=0.032;PSM 后:1.56;95% CI:1.10-2.53;P=0.044)全因死亡率独立相关。PSM 前后的 K-M 生存曲线证实,PSM 前和 PSM 后 ICU(PSM 前:18.3% vs. 8.4%,P<0.001;PSM 后:81.7% vs. 91.3%,P<0.001)、住院期间(PSM 前:25.3% vs. 12.8%,P<0.001;PSM 后:75.1% vs. 88.0%,P<0.001)、30 天(PSM 前:24.9% vs. 11.4%,P<0.001;PSM 后:74.7% vs. 86.3%,P<0.001)和 1 年(PSM 前:36.9% vs. 20.8%,P<0.001;P=0.02;PSM 后:63.1% vs. 75.1%,P<0.001)全因死亡率均较低。分层分析表明,PIV 与全因死亡率之间的关系在不同亚组之间存在差异。

结论

在患有非创伤性 SAH 的危重病患者中,入院时升高的 PIV 与各阶段的全因死亡率升高相关,包括 ICU、住院期间、30 天、90 天和 1 年死亡率,这确立了它作为独立死亡风险决定因素的地位。本研究试图填补当前知识空白,并提供对非创伤性 SAH 中炎症标志物作用的更深入理解。然而,为了支持 PIV 预测非创伤性 SAH 患者预后的预测价值,还需要进行更多的前瞻性病例对照研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6435/10626529/8750285d725c/fimmu-14-1235266-g001.jpg

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