Lu Yang, Su Ying, Cui Can, Ren Li, Zhang Ke, Wang Yuzhang, Yang Jialiang, Huang Yuequn
College of Marxism, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210098, China.
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210098, China.
Sci Rep. 2023 Nov 9;13(1):19472. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-46678-9.
The interplay of water resources with social-economy spheres involves a reciprocal feedback mechanism. With the acceleration of the construction process of modernized water networks in Hunan Province, investigating the adaptation status of the "Water-Social-Economy " composite system (WSE) is crucial for promoting sustainability. This study clarifies the connotation of the adaptability of WSE, and the quantitative analyses were conducted through coupling coordinative degree, harmonious development capacity, and the evolution of development lag types among the 14 cities of Hunan Province from 2005 to 2020. The results show that: (1) The development index of the water resources subsystem (WRS) showed a "downward-fluctuation-upward" trend, while the development index of the social-economy subsystem (SES) showed signs of great improvement, the former didn't catch up with the latter. (2) The coupling coordination degree of WSE developed well, and reached the coordinative development stage by 2020, but the unbalanced spatial pattern between north to south and east to west still exists and is further intensified. (3) The development ability of WSE improved while the harmony ability reduced, and the development rate of WRS and SES hasn't achieved dynamic synchronization. Finally, the policies and suggestions to improve the adaptability are put forward, which is of instructive significance for the sustainable development of water suitability.
水资源与社会经济领域的相互作用涉及一种相互反馈机制。随着湖南省现代化水网建设进程的加快,调查“水-社会-经济”复合系统(WSE)的适应状况对于促进可持续发展至关重要。本研究阐明了WSE适应性的内涵,并通过耦合协调度、协调发展能力以及2005年至2020年湖南省14个城市发展滞后类型的演变进行了定量分析。结果表明:(1)水资源子系统(WRS)的发展指数呈“下降-波动-上升”趋势,而社会经济子系统(SES)的发展指数有显著改善迹象,前者未赶上后者。(2)WSE的耦合协调度发展良好,到2020年达到协调发展阶段,但南北和东西之间的空间格局不平衡仍然存在且进一步加剧。(3)WSE的发展能力提高而协调能力降低,WRS和SES的发展速度未实现动态同步。最后,提出了提高适应性的政策和建议,这对水适宜性的可持续发展具有指导意义。