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区域水资源-社会经济-生态环境系统协调发展度的时空分异特征研究。

Study on Spatial and Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Coordinated Development Degree among Regional Water Resources, Social Economy, and Ecological Environment Systems.

机构信息

College of Hydrology and Water Resource, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Oct 30;16(21):4213. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16214213.

Abstract

Water resources utilization, social economy development, and ecological environment protection are key factors in regional sustainable development. Scientific evaluation of regional coordinated development status and diagnosis of regional uncoordinated development constraints will improve the management level of decision-makers. At present, most developing countries have the problem of unbalanced regional development caused by the one-sided pursuit of a certain system. Taking 14 prefecture-level cities in Hunan Province as cases, this paper analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of the carrying capacity level of the water resources system, the development level of the social economy system and the protection level of the ecological environment system in each evaluation unit based on entropy weight method and order parameter analysis. Based on the theory of coordinated development, a calculation model of a coordinated development degree was constructed, and the corresponding evaluation criteria were formulated. The spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of a coordinated development degree in each research unit were analyzed and evaluated. The results showed that the average coordinated development degree of Hunan Province from 2004 to 2016 evolved from "Light disorder recession" to "Nearly disorder recession", then to "Reluctance coordinated development". Restricted by different systems, the coordinated development degree in each research unit presented spatial and temporal differences. According to different development stages and the characteristics of different regions, corresponding development strategies can be formulated to provide the guidance for coordinated the development of regions.

摘要

水资源利用、社会经济发展和生态环境保护是区域可持续发展的关键因素。科学评价区域协调发展状况,诊断区域不协调发展的制约因素,将提高决策者的管理水平。目前,大多数发展中国家由于片面追求某种制度而存在区域发展不平衡的问题。本文以湖南省 14 个地级市为例,基于熵权法和序参量分析法,分析了各评价单元水资源系统承载能力水平、社会经济系统发展水平和生态环境系统保护水平的时空分布特征。基于协调发展理论,构建了协调发展度的计算模型,并制定了相应的评价标准。分析和评价了各研究单元协调发展度的时空分布特征。结果表明,2004-2016 年湖南省协调发展度平均值由“轻度失调衰退”演变为“濒临失调衰退”,再到“勉强协调发展”。受不同制度的制约,各研究单元的协调发展度呈现出时空差异。根据不同的发展阶段和不同地区的特点,可以制定相应的发展策略,为区域协调发展提供指导。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fef2/6862232/23e17de743ff/ijerph-16-04213-g001.jpg

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