A computer-aided system for the diagnosis of hepato-biliary diseases. A comparison with the performance of physicians.

A computer-aided system has been developed for the diagnosis of disease of the liver and biliary system. The program is based on the use of 30 indicants, all of which are available within six hours after patient's admission: 18 of them are clinical signs, 12 are laboratory parameters including routine liver-function tests. To date, the program concerns 52 hepato-biliary diseases. From the analysis of the 30 items collected in any patient, the diagnoses are computed according to Bayes' theorem and printed by decreasing order of probability. The performance of the program was tested using records of patients with fully proven diagnosis. The first diagnosis given by the computer was correct in 57 per cent of the cases. In 80 per cent, the right diagnosis was among the first four proposed. When the performance of the model was compared to that of physicians, the number of correct answers was roughly the same for the computer and for the specialists in hepatology; in contrast, the computer's responses were far better than those of general practitioners. These results demonstrate the efficiency of the program for the diagnosis of hepato-bilitary diseases and its potential interest for helping clinicians in decision-making.