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人力资本作为抵御气旋和风暴潮的关键资源:来自孟加拉国沿海地区的实证证据。

Human capital as a turnkey resource in resilience to cyclones and storm surges: Empirical evidence from coastal Bangladesh.

机构信息

University of Rajshahi, Bangladesh.

The Ohio State University, USA.

出版信息

Mar Pollut Bull. 2023 Dec;197:115721. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.115721. Epub 2023 Nov 11.

DOI:10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.115721
PMID:37956492
Abstract

What are the best methods to build cyclone and storm resilience in a developing country? We examine the multiple resources that contribute to storm resilience in the highly vulnerable ecological context of coastal Bangladesh, finding that human capital is a critical turnkey resource that enables and facilitates the use of other resources in household responses to floods, storm surges and other cyclone damage. Drawing on a household survey of nine coastal villages in different ecological zones of coastal Bangladesh, we use principal component analysis (PCA) and multiple regression to identify four components of storm resilience and a human capital index that, along with other household resources, predicts resilience to storms and cyclones. We then use this human capital index as a policy tool to map the proportion of highly resilient households in these nine villages and identify additional methods for building a stronger understanding of storm resilience.

摘要

在发展中国家,建立抗气旋和风暴能力的最佳方法是什么?我们研究了在孟加拉国沿海这种高度脆弱的生态环境中有助于抗风暴能力的多种资源,发现人力资本是一个关键的关键资源,使家庭能够利用其他资源应对洪水、风暴潮和其他气旋灾害。本研究利用孟加拉国沿海九个不同生态区的乡村家庭调查,使用主成分分析(PCA)和多元回归分析来确定抗风暴能力的四个组成部分和一个人力资本指数,这个指数连同其他家庭资源,可以预测家庭对风暴和气旋的抵御能力。然后,我们使用这个人力资本指数作为政策工具,来描绘这九个村庄中高抵御能力家庭的比例,并确定增强对风暴抵御能力的理解的其他方法。

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