Botosso Viviane, Precioso Alexander Roberto, Wilder-Smith Annelies, Oliveira Danielle, Oliveira Fabyano, Oliveira Cairo, Soares Camila, Oliveira Lucyana, Santos Ralyria, Utescher Carla, Coutinho Francisco, Massad Eduardo
Epidemiol Infect. 2023 Nov 15;151:1-16. doi: 10.1017/S0950268823001814.
Congenital Zika is a devastating consequence of maternal Zika virus infections. Estimates of age-dependent seroprevalence profiles are central to our understanding of the force of Zika virus infections. We set out to calculate the age-dependent seroprevalence of Zika virus infections in Brazil. We analyzed serum samples stratified by age and geographic location, collected from 2016 to 2019, from about 16,000 volunteers enrolled in a Phase 3 dengue vaccine trial led by the Institute Butantan in Brazil. Our results show that Zika seroprevalence has a remarkable age-dependent and geographical distribution, with an average age of the first infection varying from region to region, ranging from 4.97 (3.03–5.41) to 7.24 (6.98–7.90) years. The calculated basic reproduction number, [Image: see text] , varied from region to region, ranging from 1.18 (1.04–1.41) to 2.33 (1.54–3.85). Such data are paramount to determine the optimal age to vaccinate against Zika, if and when such a vaccine becomes available.
先天性寨卡病毒感染是孕妇感染寨卡病毒的灾难性后果。年龄依赖性血清流行率概况的估计对于我们理解寨卡病毒感染的传播力至关重要。我们着手计算巴西寨卡病毒感染的年龄依赖性血清流行率。我们分析了2016年至2019年从巴西布坦坦研究所主导的一项3期登革热疫苗试验中招募的约16000名志愿者按年龄和地理位置分层收集的血清样本。我们的结果表明,寨卡病毒血清流行率具有显著的年龄依赖性和地理分布,首次感染的平均年龄因地区而异,范围从4.97(3.03 - 5.41)岁到7.24(6.98 - 7.90)岁。计算出的基本繁殖数[图像:见正文]因地区而异,范围从1.18(1.04 - 1.41)到2.33(1.54 - 3.85)。如果且当寨卡疫苗可用时,这些数据对于确定接种寨卡疫苗的最佳年龄至关重要。