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非同质化代币的价格动态:“无聊猿”案例。

On the price dynamics of non-fungible tokens: The 'Bored Apes' case.

机构信息

Department of Economics and Business, University of Catania, Catania, Italy.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Nov 16;18(11):e0287881. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0287881. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

We analyse the pattern of daily price of a collection of artistic non-fungible tokens, namely, the "Bored Ape Yacht Club" (BAYC) collectibles, over the first year of their life, from May 2021 to May 2022. Taking a time-series analysis approach, we consider the daily average price, and other variants of daily price index, derived from hedonic regression model. Aesthetic features of the collectibles do matter. At the same time, the price series emerge to be non-stationary, integrated of order 1, with their first difference exhibiting heteroscedasticity and autoregressive variance. Models of ARCH/GARCH class are appropriate to describe the dynamics. Though the price series of BAYC collectibles and their daily movements share many characteristics with the series of financial assets, they do not appear to be related to financial variables from both the crypto- and the real (i.e., not crypto) world.

摘要

我们分析了一系列艺术非同质化代币(即“无聊猿游艇俱乐部”(BAYC)收藏品)的每日价格模式,时间跨度为从 2021 年 5 月到 2022 年 5 月的第一年。采用时间序列分析方法,我们考虑了每日平均价格,以及来自享乐回归模型的其他每日价格指数变体。收藏品的美学特征确实很重要。同时,价格序列呈现出非平稳性,整合阶数为 1,其一阶差分表现出异方差和自回归方差。ARCH/GARCH 类模型适合描述动态。尽管 BAYC 收藏品的价格序列及其每日波动与金融资产系列有许多共同特征,但它们似乎与加密和实体经济(即非加密)中的金融变量没有关系。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd62/10653520/c5266a5505bb/pone.0287881.g001.jpg

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