旅行监测揭示了加勒比地区登革热病毒的动态和传入情况。

Travel surveillance uncovers dengue virus dynamics and introductions in the Caribbean.

作者信息

Taylor-Salmon Emma, Hill Verity, Paul Lauren M, Koch Robert T, Breban Mallery I, Chaguza Chrispin, Sodeinde Afeez, Warren Joshua L, Bunch Sylvia, Cano Natalia, Cone Marshall, Eysoldt Sarah, Garcia Alezaundra, Gilles Nicadia, Hagy Andrew, Heberlein Lea, Jaber Rayah, Kassens Elizabeth, Colarusso Pamela, Davis Amanda, Baudin Samantha, Rico Edhelene, Mejía-Echeverri Álvaro, Scott Blake, Stanek Danielle, Zimler Rebecca, Muñoz-Jordán Jorge L, Santiago Gilberto A, Adams Laura E, Paz-Bailey Gabriela, Spillane Melanie, Katebi Volha, Paulino-Ramírez Robert, Mueses Sayira, Peguero Armando, Sánchez Nelissa, Norman Francesca F, Galán Juan-Carlos, Huits Ralph, Hamer Davidson H, Vogels Chantal B F, Morrison Andrea, Michael Scott F, Grubaugh Nathan D

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.

Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.

出版信息

medRxiv. 2023 Nov 12:2023.11.11.23298412. doi: 10.1101/2023.11.11.23298412.

Abstract

Dengue is the most prevalent mosquito-borne viral disease in humans, and cases are continuing to rise globally. In particular, islands in the Caribbean have experienced more frequent outbreaks, and all four dengue virus (DENV) serotypes have been reported in the region, leading to hyperendemicity and increased rates of severe disease. However, there is significant variability regarding virus surveillance and reporting between islands, making it difficult to obtain an accurate understanding of the epidemiological patterns in the Caribbean. To investigate this, we used travel surveillance and genomic epidemiology to reconstruct outbreak dynamics, DENV serotype turnover, and patterns of spread within the region from 2009-2022. We uncovered two recent DENV-3 introductions from Asia, one of which resulted in a large outbreak in Cuba, which was previously under-reported. We also show that while outbreaks can be synchronized between islands, they are often caused by different serotypes. Our study highlights the importance of surveillance of infected travelers to provide a snapshot of local introductions and transmission in areas with limited local surveillance and suggests that the recent DENV-3 introductions may pose a major public health threat in the region.

摘要

登革热是人类中最普遍的蚊媒病毒性疾病,全球病例数持续上升。特别是,加勒比地区的岛屿爆发更为频繁,该地区已报告了所有四种登革热病毒(DENV)血清型,导致高度地方性流行和严重疾病发病率增加。然而,各岛屿之间在病毒监测和报告方面存在显著差异,这使得难以准确了解加勒比地区的流行病学模式。为了对此进行调查,我们利用旅行监测和基因组流行病学方法,重建了2009年至2022年该地区的疫情动态、DENV血清型更替情况以及传播模式。我们发现近期有两起DENV-3从亚洲传入,其中一起在古巴引发了大规模疫情,而此前该疫情报告不足。我们还表明,虽然各岛屿之间的疫情可能同步,但往往由不同血清型引起。我们的研究强调了对感染旅行者进行监测的重要性,以便在当地监测有限的地区提供本地传入和传播情况的概况,并表明近期DENV-3的传入可能对该地区构成重大公共卫生威胁。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c82c/10659465/b9e670c2a65b/nihpp-2023.11.11.23298412v1-f0001.jpg

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