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芬兰艾尔夏牛注册疾病的流行病学和遗传学研究。I. 数据、疾病发生情况和淘汰情况。

An epidemiological and genetic study on registered diseases in Finnish Ayrshire cattle. I. The data, disease occurrence and culling.

作者信息

Gröhn Y, Saloniemi H, Syväjärvi J

出版信息

Acta Vet Scand. 1986;27(2):182-95. doi: 10.1186/BF03548163.

Abstract

The epidemiology and genetic variability of the most common dairy cow diseases were examined. This paper describes the data set, lactation incidence rates and culling during lactation. The data set consisted of the lactation records of 73,368 Finnish Ayrshire dairy cows. Each cow was under observation for 2 days before and 305 days after calving. Lactational incidence rates (%) for the most common diseases were: ovulatory dysfunction 7.0, ketosis 6.0, acute mastitis 5.4, an oestrus and suboestrus 5.2, retained placenta 4.5, parturient paresis 3.8 and teat injury 2.6. Multiple logistic regression was utilized to investigate the possible effects of certain factors on culling. The model predicted the log odds for culling as an additive function of the explanatory factors. Using the estimated odds and forming the odds ratios it was possible to investigate, relative risks between any combination of groups of the explanatory factors. The risk of culling increased with parity after the second parturition, and with increasing herd milk yield. Mastitis and parturient paresis had positive associations with culling, while ketosis and infertility had negative associations. Heritability estimates for culling in various parity groups were from 2 % to 9 % on the binomial scale corresponding from 5 % to 14 % on the normal scale. There was a neagtive genetic correlation between culling and previous milk production.

摘要

对最常见的奶牛疾病的流行病学和遗传变异性进行了研究。本文描述了数据集、泌乳发病率以及泌乳期的淘汰情况。该数据集由73368头芬兰艾尔夏奶牛的泌乳记录组成。每头奶牛在产犊前2天和产犊后305天接受观察。最常见疾病的泌乳发病率(%)分别为:排卵功能障碍7.0、酮病6.0、急性乳腺炎5.4、发情和亚发情5.2、胎衣不下4.5、产褥热3.8以及乳头损伤2.6。采用多元逻辑回归来研究某些因素对淘汰的可能影响。该模型将淘汰的对数几率预测为解释因素的加性函数。利用估计的几率并形成几率比,可以研究解释因素组的任何组合之间的相对风险。产犊后第二胎及以后,淘汰风险随胎次增加而增加,且随牛群产奶量增加而增加。乳腺炎和产褥热与淘汰呈正相关,而酮病和不育与淘汰呈负相关。在二项式尺度上,不同胎次组淘汰的遗传力估计值为2%至9%,在正态尺度上对应为5%至14%。淘汰与先前产奶量之间存在负遗传相关性。

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