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核能在低碳能源转型中的作用:来自欧盟面板数据方法的证据。

The role of nuclear energy in low carbon energy transition: evidence from panel data approach in EU.

机构信息

Warsaw School of Economics, Al. Niepodległości 162, 02-554, Warsaw, Poland.

Bioeconomy Research Institute, Vytautas Magnus university, Akademija, Kaunas Region, Studentu 11, LT-53361, Lithuania.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Dec;30(59):124353-124373. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-30827-8. Epub 2023 Nov 24.

Abstract

The aim of this study is to employ panel data approach to investigate determinants of total GHG emissions in all European Union (EU) economies in years 1990-2018 and evaluate the role of nuclear energy in climate change mitigation. It incorporates the following variables potentially affecting the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions: economic-gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and GDP per capita squared to control for non-linear relationship between economic output and GHG emissions; structural-economic structure reflected in the share of manufacturing in total gross value added (GVA); energy-mix-share of nuclear power and renewable sources in total gross electricity production; environmental policy-the amount of environmental taxes (as a percentage of GDP) and the number of European Union Emission Trading System (EU ETS) allowances auctioned or sold (as a percentage of GDP per capita). The main findings of this study confirm the long-run relationship between GHG emissions, GDP level, and energy-mix variables. It endorses that higher share of nuclear power together with renewables in gross electricity production has significant impact on GHG emissions in the long run. In turn, it also validates the existence of the environmental Kuznets curve for selected countries.

摘要

本研究旨在采用面板数据方法,研究 1990-2018 年所有欧盟(EU)经济体温室气体(GHG)排放总量的决定因素,并评估核能在气候变化减缓中的作用。它包含了以下可能影响温室气体(GHG)排放的变量:经济-人均国内生产总值(GDP)和人均 GDP 的平方,以控制经济产出与 GHG 排放之间的非线性关系;结构-制造业在总增加值(GVA)中所占的份额反映的经济结构;能源-核电和可再生能源在总电力生产中的份额;环境政策-环境税(占 GDP 的百分比)和欧盟排放交易系统(EU ETS)中拍卖或出售的配额数量(占人均 GDP 的百分比)。本研究的主要发现证实了 GHG 排放、GDP 水平和能源组合变量之间的长期关系。它支持在总电力生产中核电与可再生能源的较高份额对 GHG 排放具有长期的显著影响。反过来,它也验证了所选国家存在环境库兹涅茨曲线。

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