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2005 - 2020年西班牙东北部癌症发病率和1年死亡率的趋势及连接点分析

Trend and Joinpoint Analysis of Cancer Incidence and 1-Year Mortality in North-East Spain 2005-2020.

作者信息

Roura Pere, Puigoriol Emma, Altimiras Jacint, Batiste-Alentorn Eduard, Dégano Irene R

机构信息

Clinical Epidemiology and Research Unit, Vic Hospital Consortium, 08500 Vic, Spain.

Faculty of Medicine, University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia, 08500 Vic, Spain.

出版信息

Cancers (Basel). 2023 Nov 22;15(23):5527. doi: 10.3390/cancers15235527.

Abstract

Cancer is the second leading cause of death. It is thus essential to examine cancer trends in all regions. In addition, trend data after 2019 and on cancer 1-year mortality are scarce. Our aim was to analyze incidence and 1-year mortality cancer trends in northeastern Spain during 2005-2020. We used the Osona Tumor Registry, which registers cancer incidence and mortality in Osona. The mortality information came from the Spanish Death Index. We analyzed age-standardized incidence rates and 1-year mortality by sex in the population aged > 17 years during 2005-2020. Trends were examined with negative binomial and joinpoint regression. Incidence rates of colorectal, lung and bronchus, and urinary bladder cancer increased annually in females by 2.86%, 4.20%, and 4.56%, respectively. In males, the incidence of stomach and prostate cancer decreased annually by 3.66% and 2.05%, respectively. One-year mortality trends decreased annually for endometrium cancer (-9.0%) and for colorectal cancer in males (-3.1%). From 2019 to 2020, the incidence of cancer decreased, while 1-year mortality increased in both sexes. In a North-Eastern Spanish county, 1-year mortality decreased for endometrium cancer in females and for colorectal cancer in males. Our results suggest a trend of decreasing cancer incidence and increasing cancer mortality as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.

摘要

癌症是第二大致死原因。因此,审视所有地区的癌症趋势至关重要。此外,2019年之后的趋势数据以及癌症1年死亡率的数据稀缺。我们的目的是分析2005年至2020年西班牙东北部的癌症发病率和1年死亡率趋势。我们使用了奥索纳肿瘤登记处的数据,该登记处记录了奥索纳的癌症发病率和死亡率。死亡信息来自西班牙死亡指数。我们分析了2005年至2020年期间17岁以上人群按性别划分的年龄标准化发病率和1年死亡率。采用负二项式回归和连接点回归来研究趋势。女性中结直肠癌、肺癌和支气管癌以及膀胱癌的发病率每年分别上升2.86%、4.20%和4.56%。男性中,胃癌和前列腺癌的发病率每年分别下降3.66%和2.05%。子宫内膜癌和男性结直肠癌的1年死亡率趋势每年下降,分别为-9.0%和-3.1%。从2019年到2020年,癌症发病率下降,而男女两性的1年死亡率均上升。在西班牙东北部的一个县,女性子宫内膜癌和男性结直肠癌的1年死亡率下降。我们的结果表明,由于新冠疫情,癌症发病率呈下降趋势,而癌症死亡率呈上升趋势。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6579/10705763/d1e86de19482/cancers-15-05527-g001.jpg

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