Research & Development, TÜV | DEKRA arge tp 21, Dresden, Germany.
Chair of Traffic and Transportation Psychology, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
J Safety Res. 2023 Dec;87:187-201. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2023.09.016. Epub 2023 Sep 27.
The continuous growth in the use of e-bikes (in Germany mostly pedelecs that support pedaling up to 25 km/h) raises questions about the use of historic crash data for the development of road safety measures. The aim of this study was to address this issue, by conducting a longitudinal analysis of pedelec and bicycle crash data over a period of nine years to identify trends and to clarify whether such trends are specific to pedelecs.
We analyzed 95,338 police reported pedelec and bicycle injury crashes from 2013 through 2021. The dataset consisted of crashes from three federal states of Germany: Brandenburg, Hesse and Saxony. Data were analyzed with respect to sex and age distribution, time, location and type of accident, conflict partner, cause of crash and injury severity.
Many of the analyzed variables showed a considerable degree of temporal stability, with differences as well as similarities between the two bicycle types staying quite consistent over the years. One notable difference was the mean age of the involved riders, with crashed pedelec riders being significantly older than conventional cyclists. At the same time, however, the mean age of these pedelec riders has decreased by eight years over time. Single vehicle crashes were consistently more common for pedelec riders than for cyclists. Similarly, pedelec rider crashes went with a higher injury severity over all the years.
While, on a more detailed level, we found differences between the two bicycle types, overall crash characteristics were remarkably similar and consistent over time. Our findings provide no clear argument for road safety measures that are specifically designed to target pedelecs. Instead, the stable crash total, and the increases in ridership of both bicycles and pedelecs, highlight the demand for new, innovative solutions to improve cycling safety in general.
电动自行车(在德国主要是助力速度可达 25km/h 的电动自行车)的使用持续增长,这引发了关于使用历史碰撞数据来制定道路安全措施的问题。本研究旨在通过对电动自行车和自行车碰撞数据进行长达九年的纵向分析,以确定趋势,并澄清这些趋势是否特定于电动自行车,从而解决这一问题。
我们分析了 2013 年至 2021 年期间来自德国三个联邦州(勃兰登堡州、黑森州和萨克森州)的 95338 起警方报告的电动自行车和自行车受伤事故。该数据集包括事故的性别和年龄分布、时间、地点和事故类型、冲突方、事故原因和伤害严重程度。
许多分析变量显示出相当程度的时间稳定性,两种自行车类型之间存在差异和相似之处,多年来保持相当一致。一个值得注意的区别是涉及骑手的平均年龄,电动自行车骑手的年龄明显大于传统自行车骑手。然而,与此同时,这些电动自行车骑手的平均年龄随着时间的推移减少了八年。与自行车骑手相比,单人车辆碰撞在电动自行车骑手身上更为常见。同样,在所有年份,电动自行车骑手的碰撞都伴随着更高的伤害严重程度。
虽然在更详细的层面上,我们发现了两种自行车类型之间的差异,但总体碰撞特征在时间上非常相似且一致。我们的研究结果并没有为专门针对电动自行车的道路安全措施提供明确的论据。相反,稳定的碰撞总数,以及自行车和电动自行车的骑行人数增加,突出了对新的、创新的解决方案的需求,以提高整体骑行安全性。