Instituto de Investigaciones Clínicas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Colombia, Bogotá DC, Bogotá.
Fundación Colombiana de Cancerología Clínica Vida, Colombia, Antioquia, Medellín.
Value Health Reg Issues. 2024 Jan;39:115-125. doi: 10.1016/j.vhri.2023.08.006. Epub 2023 Dec 14.
The use of comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) and target therapies is associated with substantial improvements in clinical outcomes among patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, the costs of CGP may increase the financial pressures of NSCLC on health systems worldwide, especially in low- and middle-income countries. This study aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of CGP compared with current genomic tests in patients with NSCLC from the perspective of the Colombian Health System.
To estimate the costs and benefits of CGP and its comparators, we developed a 2-stage cohort model with a lifetime horizon. In the first stage, we made up a decision tree that calculated the probability of receiving each therapy as result of identifying a specific, actionable target. In the second stage, we developed a partitioned survival model that estimated the time spent at each health state. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for life-years (LYs) and quality-adjusted LYs gained. All costs were expressed in 2019 international dollars (INT$).
CGP is associated with gains of 0.06 LYs and 0.04 quality-adjusted LYs compared with current genomic tests. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for CGP ranged from INT$861 to INT$7848, depending on the outcome and the comparator. Sensitivity analyses show that the cost-effectiveness decision was sensitive to prices of CGP above INT$7170 per test. These results are robust to most deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
CGP may be cost-effective in patients with NSCLC from the perspective of the Colombian Health System (societal willingness-to-pay threshold of INT$15 630 to INT$46 890).
综合基因组分析(CGP)和靶向治疗的使用与非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者临床结局的显著改善相关。然而,CGP 的成本可能会增加 NSCLC 对全球卫生系统的财务压力,尤其是在中低收入国家。本研究旨在从哥伦比亚卫生系统的角度评估 CGP 与 NSCLC 患者当前基因组检测相比的成本效益。
为了估计 CGP 及其对照药物的成本效益,我们开发了一个具有终生时间范围的两阶段队列模型。在第一阶段,我们构建了一个决策树,该决策树计算了识别特定可操作靶标后接受每种治疗的概率。在第二阶段,我们开发了一个分割生存模型,估计处于每个健康状态的时间。计算了增量成本效益比,用于生命年(LY)和质量调整后的 LY 获得。所有成本均以 2019 年国际元(INT$)表示。
CGP 与当前基因组检测相比,LY 增加了 0.06 个,质量调整后的 LY 增加了 0.04 个。CGP 的增量成本效益比范围为 7848INT$至 861INT$,具体取决于结果和对照药物。敏感性分析表明,CGP 的成本效益决策对每测试超过 7170INT$的价格敏感。这些结果在大多数确定性和概率敏感性分析中是稳健的。
从哥伦比亚卫生系统的角度来看(社会意愿支付阈值为 15630INT$至 46890INT$),CGP 可能对 NSCLC 患者具有成本效益。