Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Environmental Science Department, Wageningen University, Wageningen NL-6700 AA, The Netherlands.
Federal University of Minas Gerais, Departamento de Biologia Geral, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Laboratório de Limnologia, Ecotoxicologia e Ecologia Aquática, Belo Horizonte MG CEP 31270-901, Brazil.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Jan 9;121(2):e2221791120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2221791120. Epub 2024 Jan 2.
Using data from a wide range of natural communities including the human microbiome, plants, fish, mushrooms, rodents, beetles, and trees, we show that universally just a few percent of the species account for most of the biomass. This is in line with the classical observation that the vast bulk of biodiversity is very rare. Attempts to find traits allowing the tiny fraction of abundant species to escape rarity have remained unsuccessful. Here, we argue that this might be explained by the fact that hyper-dominance can emerge through stochastic processes. We demonstrate that in neutrally competing groups of species, rarity tends to become a trap if environmental fluctuations result in gains and losses proportional to abundances. This counter-intuitive phenomenon arises because absolute change tends to zero for very small abundances, causing rarity to become a "sticky state", a pseudoattractor that can be revealed numerically in classical ball-in-cup landscapes. As a result, the vast majority of species spend most of their time in rarity leaving space for just a few others to dominate the neutral community. However, fates remain stochastic. Provided that there is some response diversity, roles occasionally shift as stochastic events or natural enemies bring an abundant species down allowing a rare species to rise to dominance. Microbial time series spanning thousands of generations support this prediction. Our results suggest that near-neutrality within niches may allow numerous rare species to persist in the wings of the dominant ones. Stand-ins may serve as insurance when former key species collapse.
利用来自广泛的自然群落的数据,包括人类微生物组、植物、鱼类、蘑菇、啮齿动物、甲虫和树木,我们表明,普遍只有少数几个物种占生物量的大部分。这与经典的观察结果一致,即绝大多数生物多样性是非常罕见的。试图找到允许少数丰富物种逃避稀有性的特征的尝试仍然没有成功。在这里,我们认为这可能是由于超优势可能通过随机过程出现的事实。我们证明,在中性竞争的物种群体中,如果环境波动导致与丰度成比例的增益和损失,那么稀有性往往会成为一个陷阱。这种反直觉的现象出现是因为对于非常小的丰度,绝对变化趋于零,导致稀有性成为“粘性状态”,一个可以在经典的球杯景观中通过数值揭示的伪吸引子。因此,绝大多数物种大部分时间都处于稀有状态,为少数其他物种主导中性群落留出空间。然而,命运仍然是随机的。只要有一定的反应多样性,由于随机事件或天敌使丰富的物种下降,而使稀有物种上升到主导地位,角色偶尔会发生变化。跨越数千代的微生物时间序列支持这一预测。我们的研究结果表明,在生态位内接近中性可能允许许多稀有物种在优势物种的翅膀下生存。替补可能是在前一个关键物种崩溃时的保险。