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中国南方广州首次由 Delta 变异株 B.1.617.2 引起的本地疫情传播链。

Transmission chains of the first local outbreak cause by Delta VariantB.1.617.2 COVID-19 in Guangzhou, Southern China.

机构信息

Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 1# Qide Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510440, China.

出版信息

BMC Infect Dis. 2024 Jan 2;24(1):24. doi: 10.1186/s12879-023-08819-3.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The first local outbreak of Delta Variant B.1.617.2 COVID-19 of China occurred in Guangzhou city, south China, in May 2021. This study analyzed the transmission chains and local cluster characteristics of this outbreak, intended to provide information support for the development and adjustment of local prevention and control strategies.

METHODS

The transmission chains and local cluster characteristics of 161 local cases in the outbreak were described and analyzed. Incubation period, serial interval and generation time were calculated using the exact time of exposure and symptom onset date of the cases. The daily number of reported cases and the estimated generation time were used to estimate the effective reproduction number (Rt).

RESULTS

We identified 7 superspreading events who had more than 5 next generation cases and their infected cases infected 70.81%(114/161) of all the cases transmission. Dining and family exposure were the main transmission routes in the outbreak, with 29.19% exposed through dining and 32.30% exposed through family places. Through further analysis of the outbreak, the estimated mean incubation period was 4.22 (95%CI: 3.66-4.94) days, the estimated mean generation time was 2.60 (95%CI: 1.96-3.11) days, and the estimated Rt was 3.29 (95%CI: 2.25-5.07).

CONCLUSIONS

Classification and dynamically adjusted prevention and control measures had been carried out according to analysis of transmission chains and epidemical risk levels, including promoting nucleic acid screening at different regions and different risk levels, dividing closed-off area, controlled area according to the risk of infection, raising the requirements of leaving Guangzhou. By the above control measures, Guangzhou effectively control the outbreak within 28 days without implementing a large-scale lockdown policy.

摘要

背景

2021 年 5 月,中国华南地区广州市首次出现德尔塔变异株 B.1.617.2 引起的本地疫情。本研究分析了该起疫情的传播链和本地聚集性特征,旨在为当地防控策略的制定和调整提供信息支持。

方法

描述和分析了该起疫情 161 例本地病例的传播链和本地聚集性特征。采用病例暴露日期和症状起始日期的精确时间计算潜伏期、序列间隔和代际时间。利用报告病例的日数量和估计的代际时间来估计有效繁殖数(Rt)。

结果

我们共发现 7 起超级传播事件,这些超级传播者的续发病例数均超过 5 例,其感染病例占所有传播病例的 70.81%(114/161)。聚餐和家庭暴露是此次疫情的主要传播途径,分别有 29.19%的暴露发生在聚餐场所,32.30%的暴露发生在家庭场所。通过对疫情的进一步分析,估计平均潜伏期为 4.22(95%CI:3.66-4.94)天,估计平均代际时间为 2.60(95%CI:1.96-3.11)天,估计 Rt 为 3.29(95%CI:2.25-5.07)。

结论

根据传播链和疫情风险水平进行分类和动态调整防控措施,包括在不同地区和不同风险水平下开展核酸筛查,根据感染风险划分封闭区、管控区,提高离穗要求。通过上述控制措施,广州在 28 天内有效控制了疫情,没有实施大规模封锁政策。

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