Federal Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Nöldnerstr. 40-42, 10317, Berlin, Germany.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2024 Jan;39(1):13-25. doi: 10.1007/s10654-023-01061-w. Epub 2024 Jan 3.
Numerous epidemiologic studies and a few systematic reviews have investigated the association between occupational solar exposure and basal cell carcinoma (BCC). However, previous reviews have several deficits with regard to included and excluded studies/risk estimates and the assessment of risk of selection bias (RoSB). Our aim was to review epidemiologic studies with a focus on these deficits and to use meta-(regression) analyses to summarize risk estimates.
We systematically searched PubMed (including MEDLINE) and Embase for epidemiologic studies. Study evaluation considered four main aspects of risk of bias assessments, i.e. Selection of subjects (selection bias); Exposure variables; Outcome variables; Data analysis.
Of 56 identified references, 32 were used for meta-(regression) analyses. The overall pooled risk estimate for BCC comparing high/present vs. low/absent occupational solar exposure was 1.20 (95% CI 1.02-1.43); among studies without major deficits regarding data analysis, it was 1.10 (95% CI 0.91-1.33). Studies with low and high RoSB had pooled risk estimates of 0.83 (95% CI 0.73-0.93) and 1.95 (95% CI 1.42-2.67), respectively. The definitions of exposure and outcome variables were not correlated with study risk estimates. Studies with low RoSB in populations with the same latitude or lower than Germany had a pooled risk estimate of 1.01 (95% CI 0.88-1.15).
Due to the different associations between occupational solar exposure and BCC among studies with low and high RoSB, we reason that the current epidemiologic evidence base does not permit the conclusion that regular outdoor workers have an increased risk of BCC.
许多流行病学研究和少数系统评价已经调查了职业性太阳暴露与基底细胞癌(BCC)之间的关系。然而,以前的综述在纳入和排除研究/风险估计以及选择偏倚风险评估(RoSB)方面存在一些缺陷。我们的目的是审查流行病学研究,重点关注这些缺陷,并使用荟萃(回归)分析来总结风险估计。
我们系统地搜索了 PubMed(包括 MEDLINE)和 Embase 中的流行病学研究。研究评估考虑了风险评估的四个主要方面,即:受试者选择(选择偏倚);暴露变量;结局变量;数据分析。
在 56 篇确定的参考文献中,有 32 篇用于荟萃(回归)分析。比较高/现职业性太阳暴露与低/无职业性太阳暴露的 BCC 总体汇总风险估计值为 1.20(95%CI 1.02-1.43);在没有数据分析重大缺陷的研究中,风险估计值为 1.10(95%CI 0.91-1.33)。RoSB 低和高的研究的汇总风险估计值分别为 0.83(95%CI 0.73-0.93)和 1.95(95%CI 1.42-2.67)。暴露和结局变量的定义与研究风险估计值没有相关性。RoSB 低的研究在与德国纬度相同或更低的人群中,汇总风险估计值为 1.01(95%CI 0.88-1.15)。
由于 RoSB 低和高的研究中职业性太阳暴露与 BCC 之间的关联不同,我们认为目前的流行病学证据基础不允许得出经常在户外工作的人患 BCC 的风险增加的结论。