Atwan Zeenah, Alhilfi Riyad, Mousa Alaa K, Rawaf Salman, Torre Juan D L, Hashim Ali R, Sharquie Inas K, Khaleel Hanan, Tabche Celine
Central Laboratory, College of Medicine, University of Basrah, Basrah, Iraq & WHO Collaborating Centre for Public Health Education and Training, Imperial College London, UK.
Directorate of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Baghdad, Iraq.
IJID Reg. 2023 Nov 26;10:75-79. doi: 10.1016/j.ijregi.2023.11.018. eCollection 2024 Mar.
In 2021, large outbreak of Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) was reported in Iraq and cases have increased without any significant control measures. To raise awareness about the increasing cases in different regions of Iraq, hence remind the necessity to tackle contributing factors and potential outbreak interventions.
The study included 511 polymerase chain reaction-confirmed CCHF infection cases out of 1827 suspected cases from 18 Provinces from January to August 2023. Approval from the Ministry of Health for data analyzed.
Out of 1827 suspected cases, 511 were confirmed positive by polymerase chain reaction. The total case fatality rate (CFR) was 12.7 with varying severity levels among provinces. Erbil had the highest CFR, 38.5, while Sulaimaniya and Anbar report no deaths. Independent -test showed a significant difference in CFR between provinces west and south of Baghdad compared to north ( <0.05). Trend showed significant surges after Iftar and Adha holidays.
Differences in CFR among provinces around the religious ceremonies, highlight the need for one public health intervention strategy. Increased temperatures affected vector behavior. Uncontrolled animal movement with neighboring countries is an important factor. Virus or host determinants can shape the clinical case outcomes, which need clinical and extensive laboratory studies to unravel the reasons leading to death.
2021年,伊拉克报告了克里米亚-刚果出血热(CCHF)的大规模暴发,且病例数在未采取任何重大控制措施的情况下有所增加。为提高对伊拉克不同地区病例数增加情况的认识,从而提醒应对促成因素和潜在疫情干预措施的必要性。
该研究纳入了2023年1月至8月来自18个省份的1827例疑似病例中的511例经聚合酶链反应确诊的CCHF感染病例。数据分析获得了卫生部的批准。
在1827例疑似病例中,511例经聚合酶链反应确诊为阳性。总病死率(CFR)为12.7,各省的严重程度不同。埃尔比勒的病死率最高,为38.5,而苏莱曼尼亚和安巴尔没有死亡报告。独立检验显示,与北部相比,巴格达西部和南部省份的病死率存在显著差异(<0.05)。趋势显示,开斋节和宰牲节假期后病例数大幅激增。
宗教仪式期间各省病死率的差异凸显了采取统一公共卫生干预策略的必要性。气温升高影响了病媒行为。与邻国之间不受控制的动物流动是一个重要因素。病毒或宿主决定因素可能影响临床病例结果,这需要进行临床和广泛的实验室研究来阐明导致死亡的原因。