School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, 310023, China.
Institute for Industrial System Modernization, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, 310023, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Feb;31(6):9062-9077. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-31794-w. Epub 2024 Jan 6.
Based on the panel data of 259 cities across China from 2011 to 2019, the study investigates the long-run impact of digital economy on regional pollution intensity by employing multiple models. The estimation results reveal that (1) the relatively heavily polluted areas are concentrated in the north, especially in the northeast of China; the overall pollution intensity is decreasing year by year at the national level; (2) the development of digital economy can significantly contribute to the reduction of regional pollution intensity and it has a statistically significant negative spatial spillover effect on the pollution intensity of neighboring cities; (3) mechanism analysis shows that the development of digital economy not only has a direct effect on the reduction of pollution intensity but also promotes the reduction through the channel of industrial structure upgrading and green technology progress; (4) the results of threshold model suggest that as the level of development of the digital economy increases, its marginal inhibitory effect of promoting the decrease in pollution intensity will diminish; (5) heterogeneity analysis shows that the development of digital economy makes the strongest marginal contribution to pollution intensity reduction in the northeast region. Finally, the conclusions remain valid after controlling for exogenous shocks such as "smart city" policy, various robustness, and endogeneity tests.
基于 2011 年至 2019 年中国 259 个城市的面板数据,本研究采用多种模型考察了数字经济对区域污染强度的长期影响。估计结果表明:(1)污染程度相对较高的地区集中在北方,特别是中国东北地区;全国范围内,污染强度逐年下降;(2)数字经济的发展可以显著有助于降低区域污染强度,并且对邻近城市的污染强度具有统计上显著的负空间溢出效应;(3)机制分析表明,数字经济的发展不仅对污染强度的降低有直接影响,还通过产业结构升级和绿色技术进步的渠道促进了污染强度的降低;(4)门槛模型的结果表明,随着数字经济发展水平的提高,其促进污染强度降低的边际抑制效应会减弱;(5)异质性分析表明,数字经济的发展对东北地区污染强度降低的边际贡献最大。最后,在控制了“智慧城市”政策等外生冲击以及进行了各种稳健性和内生性检验后,结论仍然成立。