数字经济与减排:作用机制及区域异质性。
Digital economy and pollution reduction-Mechanism and regional heterogeneity.
机构信息
Business School, Shanghai Dianji University, Shanghai, China.
出版信息
PLoS One. 2023 Feb 10;18(2):e0277852. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0277852. eCollection 2023.
The digital economy and ecological environment are two major issues related to high-quality economic development. Scholars have not yet reached a unified conclusion about the link between the digital economy and pollution emissions, and the impact mechanism of the former on the latter needs further study. Using data from 278 Chinese cities from 2010 to 2019, this research employs coupling coordination analysis, fixed effect analysis and mediation analysis to examine the heterogeneous impact mechanisms of the expansion of the digital economy on urban pollution reduction from many angles. It discovers that, first, the growth of the digital economy has decreased the discharge of urban pollutants overall. Second, the impact mechanisms of the digital economy are heterogeneous. From a regional perspective, industrial structure supererogation plays an intermediary role in the relationship between digital economy development and pollution reduction in the eastern and central regions, but the mediating effect is not significant in the western and northeastern regions. In terms of the city development level, industrial structure supererogation has significantly mediated the relationship between the growth of the digital economy and the reduction of pollution in first- and second-tier cities, but this mediating effect is not significant in third-tier and other cities. Third, the above conclusions are still valid after the robustness test is carried out using instrumental variable estimation, replacement of the estimation method, and replacement of explanatory variables. This study is a useful contribution to research on the effects of the digital economy and the factors influencing pollution reduction. The results advance the study of the digital economy and also have practical implications for improving China's ecological environment and fostering high-quality economic growth. Finally, we provide policy suggestions for the coordinated promotion of the digital economy's development, industrial structure supererogation and environmental pollution reduction.
数字经济与生态环境是高质量经济发展的两大重要问题,学者们对于数字经济与污染排放之间的关系尚未达成统一结论,前者对后者的影响机制有待进一步研究。本文利用 2010-2019 年中国 278 个城市的数据,采用耦合协调分析、固定效应分析和中介效应分析,从多角度检验数字经济扩张对城市减污的异质影响机制。结果表明:第一,数字经济增长整体上降低了城市污染物排放;第二,数字经济的影响机制具有异质性,从区域视角看,东部和中部地区数字经济发展与减污之间的关系存在产业结构超员的中介作用,但在西部和东北地区这种中介效应不显著;从城市发展水平视角看,产业结构超员在数字经济增长与一、二线城市减污之间起到显著的中介作用,但在三、四线等城市这种中介效应不显著;第三,通过工具变量估计、替换估计方法和替换解释变量进行稳健性检验后,上述结论仍然成立。本文的研究为数字经济效应及减污影响因素的相关研究提供了有益贡献,推进了数字经济的相关研究,对改善中国生态环境、培育高质量经济增长具有现实意义。最后,为数字经济发展、产业结构超员与环境污染减排的协同推进提供了政策建议。