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基于误差补偿和参数优化的新型选择性堆叠集成模型在空气质量指数预测中的研究与应用。

Research and application of a novel selective stacking ensemble model based on error compensation and parameter optimization for AQI prediction.

机构信息

Faculty of Automation, Huaiyin Institute of Technology, Huai'an, 223003, China; Jiangsu Permanent Magnet Motor Engineering Research Center, Huaiyin Institute of Technology, Huai'an, 223003, China.

Faculty of Automation, Huaiyin Institute of Technology, Huai'an, 223003, China.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2024 Apr 15;247:118176. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2024.118176. Epub 2024 Jan 11.

Abstract

With the ongoing process of industrialization, the issue of declining air quality is increasingly becoming a critical concern. Accurate prediction of the Air Quality Index (AQI), considered as an all-inclusive measure representing the extent of pollutants present in the atmosphere, is of paramount importance. This study introduces a novel methodology that combines stacking ensemble and error correction to improve AQI prediction. Additionally, the reptile search algorithm (RSA) is employed for optimizing model parameters. In this study, four distinct regional AQI data containing a collection of 34864 data samples are collected. Initially, we perform cross-validation on ten commonly used single models to obtain prediction results. Then, based on evaluation indices, five models are selected for ensemble. The results of the study show that the model proposed in this paper achieves an improvement of around 10% in terms of accuracy when compared to the conventional model. Thus, the model introduced in this study offers a more scientifically grounded approach in tackling air pollution.

摘要

随着工业化进程的不断推进,空气质量下降的问题日益成为人们关注的焦点。准确预测空气质量指数(AQI)至关重要,AQI 被视为全面衡量大气中污染物含量的指标。本研究提出了一种结合堆叠集成和误差校正的新方法来改进 AQI 预测。此外,还采用了爬虫搜索算法(RSA)来优化模型参数。本研究收集了四个不同地区的 AQI 数据,包含 34864 个数据样本。首先,我们对十种常用的单一模型进行交叉验证,以获得预测结果。然后,根据评估指标,选择五个模型进行集成。研究结果表明,与传统模型相比,本文提出的模型在准确性方面提高了约 10%。因此,本研究中提出的模型为解决空气污染问题提供了更科学的方法。

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