晚期肝细胞癌患者的预后因素:治疗顺序的影响。

The prognostic factors in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: impact of treatment sequencing.

作者信息

Köstek Osman, Demirel Ahmet, Hacıoğlu Muhammet Bekir, Tastekin Didem, Karabulut Senem, Gündogdu Abidin, Sever Nadiye, Ayhan Murat, Çelebi Abdussamed, Majidova Nargiz, Yaşar Alper, Ağyol Yeşim, Erel Pınar, Kocaaslan Erkam, Güren Ali Kaan, Arıkan Rukiye, Isık Selver, Ercelep Ozlem, Goksu Sema Sezgin, Alandag Celal, Bilgetekin İrem, Caner Burcu, Sahin Ahmet Bilge, Gulmez Ahmet, Akagunduz Baran, Kose Fatih, Kaplan Muhammet Ali, Dogan Ender, Sakalar Teoman, Guven Deniz Can, Gurbuz Mustafa, Ergun Yakup, Karaagac Mustafa, Turker Sema, Ozkul Ozlem, Yıldız Birol, Sahin Süleyman, Demiray Atike Gokcen, Sari Murat, Erdogan Bülent, Hacıbekiroglu İlhan, Çakmak Öksüzoğlu Ömür Berna, Kilickap Saadettin, Bilici Ahmet, Bayoglu İbrahim Vedat, Topaloglu Sernaz, Cicin İrfan

机构信息

Department of Medical Oncology, Marmara University, Istanbul, Turkiye.

Department of Medical Oncology, Trakya University, Istanbul, Turkiye.

出版信息

J Chemother. 2024 Nov;36(7):613-621. doi: 10.1080/1120009X.2024.2305066. Epub 2024 Jan 23.

Abstract

The prognosis of patients with advanced HCC can vary widely depending on factors such as the stage of the cancer, the patient's overall health, and treatment regimens. This study aimed to investigate survival outcomes and associated factors in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this retrospective study, data from 23 medical oncology clinics were analyzed. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) values were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic factors associated with survival which were identified in univariate analysis were subsequently evaluated in a multivariate Cox-regression survival analysis was conducted using the backward stepwise (Conditional LR) method to determine the independent predictors of PFS and OS. Of 280 patients, 131 received chemotherapy and 142 received sorafenib, 6 received atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and 1 received nivolumab for first-line setting. The median follow-up time was 30.4 (95%CI 27.1-33.6) months. For-first line, median PFS was 3.1 (95%CI2.7-3.5) months, and it was significantly longer in patients who received sorafenib or atezolizumab-bevacizumab or nivolumab (PFS 5.8 (95%CI 4.2-7.5) than in those received chemotherapy (PFS 2.1 (95%CI 1.9-2.3) in the first-line setting (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that male gender (HR: 2.75, 95% CI: 1.53-4.94, p = 0.01), poor ECOG performance score (HR: 1.88, 95% CI: 1.10-3.21, p = 0.02), higher baseline AFP level (HR: 2.38, 95% CI: 1.54-3.67, p < 0.001) and upfront sorafenib treatment (HR,0.38; 95% CI: 0.23-0.62, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with shorter PFS. The median OS was 13.2 (95%CI 11.1-15.2) months. It was significantly longer in patients who received sorafenib or atezolizumab-bevacizumab or nivolumab in the first-line setting followed by TKIs (sorafenib or regorafenib, OS 18.6 (95%CI 13.8-23.5)) compared to those who received chemotherapy (OS 10.3 (95%CI 6.6-14.1)) in the first-line setting. The multivariate analysis revealed that upfront chemotherapy treatment approach, male gender (HR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.07-2.94, p = 0.02), poor ECOG performance score (HR: 1.96, 95% CI: 1.24-3.09, p = 0.004) and Child-Pugh score, presence of extrahepatic disease (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.09-2.18, p = 0.01), and higher baseline AFP value (HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.03-2.19, p = 0.03) were significantly associated with poor prognosis. Additionally, regarding of treatment sequence, upfront sorafenib followed by regorafenib showed a significantly lower risk of mortality (HR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.25-0.66, p < 0.001). Sorafenib followed by regorafenib treatment was associated with a significantly lower risk of mortality rather than upfront sorafenib followed by BSC group or upfront chemotherapy followed by TKIs. These findings underscore the importance of the optimal treatment sequences to improve survival in patients with advanced HCC.

摘要

晚期肝癌患者的预后因癌症分期、患者整体健康状况及治疗方案等因素而异。本研究旨在调查肝细胞癌(HCC)患者的生存结局及相关因素。在这项回顾性研究中,分析了来自23家肿瘤内科诊所的数据。采用Kaplan-Meier法估计无进展生存期(PFS)和总生存期(OS)值。单因素分析中确定的与生存相关的预后因素随后在多因素Cox回归生存分析中进行评估,采用向后逐步(条件似然比)法确定PFS和OS的独立预测因素。280例患者中,131例接受化疗,142例接受索拉非尼治疗,6例接受阿替利珠单抗联合贝伐单抗治疗,1例接受纳武利尤单抗一线治疗。中位随访时间为30.4(95%CI 27.1 - 33.6)个月。一线治疗时,中位PFS为3.1(95%CI 2.7 - 3.5)个月,接受索拉非尼、阿替利珠单抗 - 贝伐单抗或纳武利尤单抗治疗的患者PFS显著长于接受化疗的患者(一线治疗中,PFS分别为5.8(95%CI 4.2 - 7.5)个月和2.1(95%CI 1.9 - 2.3)个月,p < 0.001)。多因素分析显示,男性(HR:2.75,95%CI:1.53 - 4.94,p = 0.01)、ECOG体能状态评分差(HR:1.88,95%CI:1.10 - 3.21,p = 0.02)、基线甲胎蛋白水平较高(HR:2.38,95%CI:1.54 - 3.67,p < 0.001)和一线使用索拉非尼治疗(HR:0.38;95%CI:0.23 - 0.62,p < 0.001)与较短的PFS显著相关。中位OS为13.2(95%CI 11.1 - 15.2)个月。一线接受索拉非尼、阿替利珠单抗 - 贝伐单抗或纳武利尤单抗治疗随后接受酪氨酸激酶抑制剂(TKI,索拉非尼或瑞戈非尼)的患者OS显著长于一线接受化疗的患者(OS分别为18.6(95%CI 13.8 - 23.5)个月和10.3(95%CI 6.6 - 14.1)个月)。多因素分析显示,一线化疗治疗方案、男性(HR:1.77,95%CI:1.07 - 2.94,p = 0.02)、ECOG体能状态评分差(HR:1.96,95%CI:1.24 - 3.09,p = 0.004)、Child-Pugh评分、存在肝外疾病(HR:1.54,95%CI:1.09 - 2.18,p = 0.01)以及较高的基线甲胎蛋白值(HR:1.50,95%CI:1.03 - 2.19,p = 0.03)与预后不良显著相关。此外,关于治疗顺序,一线使用索拉非尼随后使用瑞戈非尼显示出显著较低的死亡风险(HR:0.40,95%CI:0.25 - 0.66,p < 0.001)。索拉非尼序贯瑞戈非尼治疗与显著较低的死亡风险相关,而非一线使用索拉非尼随后进行最佳支持治疗组或一线化疗随后进行TKI治疗。这些发现强调了优化治疗顺序对改善晚期肝癌患者生存的重要性。

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