M Yogesh, Nagda Jay, Gandhi Rohankumar, Patel Rushi H, Babaria Dhruvam
Community Medicine, Shri M P Shah Medical College, Jamnagar, IND.
Internal Medicine, Ahmedabad Municipal Corporation Medical Education Trust Medical College, Ahmedabad, IND.
Cureus. 2023 Dec 27;15(12):e51170. doi: 10.7759/cureus.51170. eCollection 2023 Dec.
Background The present study aimed to evaluate the predictive utility of the C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin (CRP/Alb) ratio in predicting outcomes of acute pancreatitis in Indian patients. Methods This prospective observational study included 150 patients admitted within 24 hours of symptom onset. Serum CRP and albumin levels were measured to calculate the CRP/Alb ratio. Atlanta criteria classified severity as mild, moderate, or severe. The primary outcome was persistent organ failure. Results The mean age was 45±15 years, and 63% were males. The median C-reactive protein was 120 mg/L, Alb 3.2 g/dL, and CRP/Alb ratio 0.28. Severe acute pancreatitis patients (n = 50) had higher CRP/Alb ratios than mild cases (0.45 vs. 0.20, p<0.001). At a cut-off of 0.25, the CRP/Alb ratio demonstrated 85% sensitivity, 80% specificity, and an AUROC of 0.82 for predicting organ failure. This was significantly higher than the CRP (area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve 0.72, p = 0.03) and Ranson score (AUROC 0.76, p = 0.04). On multivariate regression, CRP/Alb ratio >0.25 independently predicted severe acute pancreatitis after adjusting for age, gender, and CT severity index (adjusted OR 5.2, 95% CI 2.8-9.6). Conclusion The CRP/Alb ratio calculated within 24 hours reliably predicts persistent organ dysfunction in Indian acute pancreatitis patients. Incorporating this inexpensive biomarker into clinical prediction tools could significantly improve early risk stratification and streamline healthcare delivery in resource-limited settings.
背景 本研究旨在评估C反应蛋白(CRP)/白蛋白(CRP/Alb)比值对预测印度急性胰腺炎患者预后的效用。方法 这项前瞻性观察性研究纳入了症状发作24小时内入院的150例患者。检测血清CRP和白蛋白水平以计算CRP/Alb比值。根据亚特兰大标准将严重程度分为轻度、中度或重度。主要结局为持续性器官功能衰竭。结果 平均年龄为45±15岁,63%为男性。C反应蛋白中位数为120mg/L,白蛋白为3.2g/dL,CRP/Alb比值为0.28。重症急性胰腺炎患者(n = 50)的CRP/Alb比值高于轻症患者(0.45对0.20,p<0.001)。CRP/Alb比值在截断值为0.25时,预测器官功能衰竭的敏感度为85%,特异度为80%,曲线下面积(AUROC)为0.82。这显著高于CRP(受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)为0.72, p = 0.03)和兰森评分(AUROC为0.76, p = 已删除)。多因素回归分析显示,在调整年龄、性别和CT严重程度指数后,CRP/Alb比值>0.25可独立预测重症急性胰腺炎(调整后比值比5.2,95%置信区间2.8 - 9.6)。结论 在24小时内计算的CRP/Alb比值可可靠地预测印度急性胰腺炎患者的持续性器官功能障碍。将这种廉价的生物标志物纳入临床预测工具可显著改善资源有限环境下的早期风险分层并优化医疗服务。