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在城市地区洪水分析中使用STORAGE降雨生成模型的可能性。

Possibility of using the STORAGE rainfall generator model in the flood analyses in urban areas.

作者信息

Wałęga Andrzej, Młyński Dariusz, Petroselli Andrea, De Luca Davide Luciano, Apollonio Ciro, Pancewicz Michał

机构信息

Department of Sanitary Engineering and Water Management, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Mickiewicza 21, 31-120 Krakow, Poland.

Department of Sanitary Engineering and Water Management, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Mickiewicza 21, 31-120 Krakow, Poland.

出版信息

Water Res. 2024 Mar 1;251:121135. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2024.121135. Epub 2024 Jan 15.

Abstract

In this investigation, we evaluated the applicability of the Stochastic Rainfall Generator (STORAGE) as a data source for deriving design hydrographs in urban catchments. This assessment involved a comparison with design rainfall calculated using Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves derived from observed time-series data. The resulting design rainfall values from both methods were incorporated into a hydrodynamic model of the storm sewer network. To simulate peak discharge and flood areas, the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) program was employed in conjunction with SCALGO. Our findings indicate that design rainfall values obtained from the STORAGE model exceeded those derived from the observed time-series, with a more pronounced difference for shorter rainfall durations. Simulations further revealed that peak runoff disparities between the two approaches were most evident at a 0.10 probability of exceedance compared to a 0.01 probability. Hydrodynamic simulations demonstrated that the flooding volume induced by design rainfall based on the STORAGE model surpassed that resulting from observed rainfall. Across all events, both the flooding volume and area from STORAGE were consistently greater than those derived from IDF curves. The integration of the SWMM model with the SCALGO application introduced a novel functionality for dynamic visualization of flooding, offering valuable insights for effective flood management in urban areas.

摘要

在本研究中,我们评估了随机降雨生成器(STORAGE)作为推导城市集水区设计水文过程线数据源的适用性。该评估涉及与使用从观测时间序列数据得出的雨强-历时-频率(IDF)曲线计算的设计降雨量进行比较。两种方法得出的设计降雨量值都被纳入了雨水管网的水动力模型。为了模拟峰值流量和洪水区域,雨水管理模型(SWMM)程序与SCALGO一起使用。我们的研究结果表明,从STORAGE模型获得的设计降雨量值超过了从观测时间序列得出的值,对于较短的降雨历时,差异更为明显。模拟进一步显示,与0.01的超越概率相比,两种方法之间的峰值径流差异在0.10的超越概率下最为明显。水动力模拟表明,基于STORAGE模型的设计降雨量引发的洪水量超过了观测降雨量引发的洪水量。在所有事件中,STORAGE的洪水量和面积始终大于从IDF曲线得出的洪水量和面积。SWMM模型与SCALGO应用程序的集成引入了洪水动态可视化的新功能,为城市地区的有效洪水管理提供了有价值的见解。

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