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非粮食扩张中的经济效益和环境影响权衡:以中国东部平原为例。

Trade-offs between economic benefits and environmental impacts in non-grain expansion: a case study in the eastern plain of China.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei, 230036, China.

Department of Land Resources Management, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Zhejiang, 310018, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Feb;31(10):15932-15945. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-31930-0. Epub 2024 Feb 3.

Abstract

China has experienced a boom expansion of non-grain production in recent years. While the non-grain production can increase the economic benefits of farmers, its expansion has significant impacts on the ecological environment and agricultural sustainability. This study attempted to assess the trade-offs between the economic benefits and environmental costs of non-grain production and to provide reference for future land use management. Focusing on the non-grain expansion in Tongxiang City, eastern China, empirical models and field surveys were used to evaluate its environmental impacts and monetary analysis was used to assess the trade-offs between the economic benefits and environmental costs. The results showed that the area of non-grain production increased by 2464.74 ha from 2005 to 2020, and pond fish farming accounted for the largest proportion. The economic benefits and environmental costs of non-grain production increased continuously during 2005-2020, and the net economic-environmental benefits gradually expanded after 2010. Trade-off analysis indicates that the economic benefits of duck rearing did not compensate for the environmental costs, while the other non-grain productions did. Nevertheless, the potential impact of non-grain conversion on the local environment is still underestimated. Some suggestions are proposed to achieve a win-win situation between cultivated land utilization and ecological protection.

摘要

近年来,中国经历了非粮生产的繁荣扩张。虽然非粮生产可以增加农民的经济效益,但它的扩张对生态环境和农业可持续性有重大影响。本研究试图评估非粮生产的经济效益和环境成本之间的权衡取舍,并为未来的土地利用管理提供参考。以中国东部桐乡市的非粮扩张为例,使用经验模型和实地调查来评估其环境影响,并进行货币分析来评估经济效益和环境成本之间的权衡取舍。结果表明,2005 年至 2020 年,非粮生产面积增加了 2464.74 公顷,其中池塘养鱼占比最大。2005-2020 年期间,非粮生产的经济效益和环境成本持续增加,2010 年后净经济环境效益逐渐扩大。权衡分析表明,养鸭的经济效益没有弥补环境成本,而其他非粮生产则弥补了环境成本。然而,非粮转化对当地环境的潜在影响仍被低估。提出了一些建议,以实现耕地利用与生态保护的双赢。

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