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评估泰国新冠疫情封锁后微型、小型和中型企业的经济影响。

Assessing economic implications for micro, small and medium enterprises in Thailand post Covid-19 lockdown.

机构信息

Business Administration Department, Faculty of Management Sciences, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla, Thailand.

Logistics Analytics and Supply Chain Management Program, International College, Walailak University, Thasala, Nakhon Si Thamarat Province, Thailand.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Feb 13;19(2):e0294890. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0294890. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Micro, Small, and Medium-sized Enterprises (MSMEs) in Thailand were assessed in this study to determine the short-term and long-term economic effects of post-COVID- 19 -, with the goal of developing policy guidelines that focus on the methods and strategies that will further develop and help recover these sectors. MSMEs are the most vulnerable and require assistants to combat the pandemic. This study assesses the perspectives of stakeholders on the development of mechanisms and the strategies applied to support vulnerable groups in Thailand, which mostly consist of women and children. The main data collection was gathered through online questionnaires that were distributed to various stakeholder groups. The tools used for analysis were advanced quantitative analysis tools that aid in achieving this research study's objectives, and data was examined primarily through the usage of path modeling, structural equation modeling (SEM), and descriptive analysis was among the methods used. The findings reveal that in the short term, MSMEs' ability to respond to COVID-19 implications has a significant impact on both financial and non-financial performance. Non-financial performance, on the other hand, is more affected by adaptability than financial performance. Demand shock from lockdowns and other COVID-19 cautionary interventions has a negative and significant impact on MSMEs' adaptability, financial performance, and non-financial performance. The demand shocks increased the vulnerability of MSMEs significantly but it was found that proper management of demand shock has helped stabilized and improve MSMEs' financial and non-financial performances, as well as helped decrease their vulnerability. When it comes to government policy, the focus is usually on enhancing the flexibility and financial performance of MSMEs. The government's legislative actions have little impact on MSMEs' non-financial performance and vulnerability. This could be because the majority of the programs are more focused on providing financial assistance to businesses or their consumers. COVID-19's supply and demand shock only hindered MSMEs' ability to respond to the changes and challenges caused by the pandemic, according to vendors. The vulnerability of MSMEs caused by COVID-19 creates grave effects on their financial performance. The findings of this research paper will assist policymakers in identifying the most vulnerable aspects of MSMEs, as well as their expectations- and determine the forms of support that will be required to combat the current and future pandemic situations that may occur in Thailand. In addition, it will aid policymakers in the establishment of procedures and supporting strategies for MSMEs to reduce the unemployment rate and stimulate the Thai economy, among other factors of improvement.

摘要

本研究评估了泰国的微型、小型和中型企业 (MSMEs),以确定后 COVID-19 时期的短期和长期经济影响,旨在制定侧重于进一步发展和帮助这些部门复苏的方法和策略的政策指导方针。MSMEs 是最脆弱的,需要援助来应对疫情。本研究评估了利益相关者对发展机制和战略的看法,这些机制和战略应用于支持泰国的弱势群体,这些弱势群体主要由妇女和儿童组成。主要数据收集是通过在线问卷进行的,这些问卷分发给了各个利益相关者群体。分析工具是高级定量分析工具,有助于实现本研究的目标,主要通过使用路径建模、结构方程建模 (SEM) 和描述性分析来检查数据。研究结果表明,在短期内,MSMEs 应对 COVID-19 影响的能力对财务和非财务绩效都有重大影响。另一方面,非财务绩效受适应性的影响大于财务绩效。封锁和其他 COVID-19 警告性干预措施造成的需求冲击对 MSMEs 的适应性、财务绩效和非财务绩效产生负面影响。需求冲击极大地增加了 MSMEs 的脆弱性,但事实证明,对需求冲击的妥善管理有助于稳定和提高 MSMEs 的财务和非财务绩效,并降低其脆弱性。在政府政策方面,重点通常是提高 MSMEs 的灵活性和财务绩效。政府的立法行动对 MSMEs 的非财务绩效和脆弱性影响不大。这可能是因为大多数方案更侧重于向企业或其消费者提供财政援助。供应商表示,COVID-19 的供需冲击只是阻碍了 MSMEs 应对大流行带来的变化和挑战的能力。COVID-19 给 MSMEs 带来的脆弱性对其财务绩效产生了严重影响。本研究报告的结果将帮助政策制定者确定 MSMEs 最脆弱的方面,以及他们的期望,并确定需要采取何种形式的支持来应对泰国目前和未来可能出现的大流行情况。此外,它将有助于政策制定者为 MSMEs 制定程序和支持战略,以降低失业率和刺激泰国经济,以及其他改进因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1b7e/10863875/24baffa45f2c/pone.0294890.g001.jpg

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