Department of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Aging Research Center, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, and Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Aging (Albany NY). 2024 Feb 14;16(4):3056-3067. doi: 10.18632/aging.205552.
There is insufficient investigation of multiple imputation for systematically missing discrete variables in individual participant data meta-analysis (IPDMA) with a small number of included studies. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate the performance of three multiple imputation strategies - fully conditional specification (FCS), multivariate normal (MVN), conditional quantile imputation (CQI) - on systematically missing data on gait speed in the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care (SNAC).
In total, 1 000 IPDMA were simulated with four prospective cohort studies based on the characteristics of the SNAC. The three multiple imputation strategies were analysed with a two-stage common-effect multivariable logistic model targeting the effect of three levels of gait speed (100% missing in one study) on 5-years mortality with common odds ratios set to = 0.55 (0.8-1.2 vs ≤0.8 m/s), and = 0.29 (>1.2 vs ≤0.8 m/s).
The average combined estimate for the mortality odds ratio (relative bias %) were 0.58 (8.2%), 0.58 (7.5%), and 0.55 (0.7%) for the FCS, MVN, and CQI, respectively. The average combined estimate for the mortality odds ratio (relative bias %) were 0.30 (2.5%), 0.33 (10.0%), and 0.29 (0.9%) for the FCS, MVN, and CQI respectively.
In our simulations of an IPDMA based on the SNAC where gait speed data was systematically missing in one study, all three imputation methods performed relatively well. The smallest bias was found for the CQI approach.
在包含少量研究的个体参与者数据荟萃分析(IPDMA)中,对于系统缺失的离散变量,多重插补的研究还不够充分。因此,本研究旨在评估三种多重插补策略——完全条件指定(FCS)、多元正态(MVN)、条件分位数插补(CQI)——在瑞典国家老龄化和护理研究(SNAC)中系统缺失步态速度数据时的表现。
共模拟了 1000 个 IPDMA,基于 SNAC 的特征,来自四个前瞻性队列研究。使用两阶段常见效应多变量逻辑模型分析了三种多重插补策略,该模型针对三种水平的步态速度(一项研究中有 100%缺失)对 5 年死亡率的影响,常见比值比 = 0.55(0.8-1.2 与 ≤0.8 m/s)和 = 0.29(>1.2 与 ≤0.8 m/s)。
死亡率比值比 的平均合并估计值 (相对偏差%)分别为 FCS(8.2%)、MVN(7.5%)和 CQI(0.7%)的 0.58、0.58 和 0.55。死亡率比值比 的平均合并估计值 (相对偏差%)分别为 FCS(2.5%)、MVN(10.0%)和 CQI(0.9%)的 0.30、0.33 和 0.29。
在基于 SNAC 的 IPDMA 模拟中,一项研究中的步态速度数据系统缺失,所有三种插补方法的表现都相对较好。CQI 方法的偏差最小。