School of Insurance, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan, Shandong, China.
School of Statistics and Mathematic, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan, Shandong, China.
PLoS One. 2024 Feb 20;19(2):e0298243. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0298243. eCollection 2024.
This paper develops a multidimensional poverty index (MPI) evaluation system using multiple measures. We use the China Family Panel Study (CFPS) data to build balanced panel data from 2012 to 2018. Employing the probit model to analyze the impact of land transfer on relative poverty incidence, as well as utilizing the two-way fixed effects model and the logit model, we approach the issue from the perspective of multidimensional relative poverty identification. Our study indicates a decrease in relative poverty among rural households since 2012. Nonetheless, the overall incidence of relative poverty among rural households in China remains high at 20.6%, highlighting the severity of this issue in rural China. Moreover, we examine the heterogeneity of the poverty reduction effects of land transfer-in and land transfer-out. Land transfer can significantly reduce the incidence of relative poverty among rural households, with distinct mechanisms for land transfer-in and land transfer-out. Land transfer-in primarily reduces the relative poverty incidence of rural households through the education, housing, and land dimensions, while land transfer-out focuses on the quality-of-life dimension. Overall, land transfer-out has a more significant poverty reduction effect than land transfer-in. Furthermore, our study reveals that the reduction effect of land transfer on the incidence of relative poverty among rural households persists for at least two years, but by the fourth year, this effect disappears.
本文构建了一个多维贫困指数(MPI)评价体系,运用了多种测度方法。利用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,我们构建了 2012 年至 2018 年的平衡面板数据。通过使用概率单位模型来分析土地流转对相对贫困发生率的影响,以及采用双向固定效应模型和逻辑回归模型,从多维相对贫困识别的角度探讨了这一问题。研究表明,自 2012 年以来,农村家庭的相对贫困发生率有所下降。然而,中国农村家庭的总体相对贫困发生率仍高达 20.6%,突显了中国农村地区这一问题的严重性。此外,我们还考察了土地转入和土地转出的减贫效果的异质性。土地流转可以显著降低农村家庭的相对贫困发生率,土地转入和土地转出的作用机制也有所不同。土地转入主要通过教育、住房和土地维度降低农村家庭的相对贫困发生率,而土地转出则侧重于生活质量维度。总的来说,土地转出的减贫效果比土地转入更为显著。此外,我们的研究还揭示了土地流转对农村家庭相对贫困发生率的降低效应至少持续两年,但到第四年,这种效应就消失了。