Universidade Estadual de Maringá, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem, Maringá, PR, Brazil.
Universidade Federal de São Paulo, Escola Paulista de Enfermagem, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2024 Feb 19;33:e2023522. doi: 10.1590/S2237-96222024v33e2023522.en. eCollection 2024.
To analyze the temporal trend in the incidence of tuberculosis-HIV coinfection in Brazil, by macro-region, Federative Unit, sex and age group, from 2010 to 2021.
This was a time series study using surveillance data to estimate average annual percentage changes (AAPC), and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) via joinpoint regression.
122,211 cases of tuberculosis-HIV coinfection were analyzed; a falling trend was identified for Brazil as a whole (AAPC = -4.3; 95%CI -5.1;-3.7), and in the country's Southern (AAPC = -6.2; 95%CI -6.9;-5.5) and Southeast (AAPC = -4.6; 95%CI -5.6;-3.8) regions, even more so during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-2021); the greatest falling trend was seen in Santa Catarina (AAPC = -9.3; 95%CI -10.1;-8.5), while the greatest rising trend was found in Tocantins (AAPC = 4.1; 95%CI 0.1;8.6); there was a rising trend among males, especially in Sergipe (AAPC = 3.9; 95%CI 0.4;7.9), and those aged 18 to 34 years, especially in Amapá (AAPC = 7.9; 95%CI 5.1;11.5).
The burden and trends of tuberculosis-HIV coinfection were geographically and demographically disparate.
分析 2010 年至 2021 年期间,巴西按大地区、联邦单位、性别和年龄组划分的结核-艾滋病毒合并感染发病率的时间趋势。
这是一项时间序列研究,使用监测数据通过连接点回归估计平均年变化百分比(AAPC)和 95%置信区间(95%CI)。
共分析了 122211 例结核-艾滋病毒合并感染病例;整体而言,巴西呈下降趋势(AAPC=-4.3;95%CI-5.1;-3.7),该国南部(AAPC=-6.2;95%CI-6.9;-5.5)和东南部(AAPC=-4.6;95%CI-5.6;-3.8)地区的下降趋势更为明显,尤其是在 COVID-19 大流行期间(2020-2021 年);圣卡塔琳娜州的下降趋势最大(AAPC=-9.3;95%CI-10.1;-8.5),而托坎廷斯州的上升趋势最大(AAPC=4.1;95%CI 0.1;8.6);男性呈上升趋势,尤其是塞尔希培州(AAPC=3.9;95%CI 0.4;7.9),18 至 34 岁年龄组呈上升趋势,尤其是阿马帕州(AAPC=7.9;95%CI 5.1;11.5)。
结核-艾滋病毒合并感染的负担和趋势在地理和人口统计学上存在差异。