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巴西圣卡塔琳娜州结核病发病率时间序列:2010-2019 年十年分析。

Tuberculosis incidence rate time series in the state of Santa Catarina, Brazil: analysis of a decade, 2010-2019.

机构信息

Curso de Medicina, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil.

Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil.

出版信息

Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2022 Sep 5;31(3):e20211067. doi: 10.1590/S2237-96222022000300002. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To describe the profile of tuberculosis cases and analyze the temporal trend of tuberculosis incidence rate in Santa Catarina, by sex, from 2010 to 2019.

METHODS

This was a time series study conducted using data from the Notifiable Health Conditions Information System (SINAN). The Prais-Winsten regression model was used.

RESULTS

There were 16,446 new cases of tuberculosis. Most cases occurred in males (68.5%), people aged 20 to 49 years (70.3%), in Greater Florianópolis (25.1%) and in individuals with incomplete elementary education (40.0%). A falling trend in tuberculosis incidence rates was found for males (APC: -1.86%; 95%CI -2.68;-1.03), females (APC: -1.92%; 95%CI -2.63;-1.20) and both sexes (APC: -1.77%; 95%CI -2.37;-1.17).

CONCLUSION

In the decade analyzed, there was a significant reduction in the tuberculosis incidence rate in Santa Catarina, in both sexes. There was a predominance of males, people of economically active age and with low schooling.

摘要

目的

描述圣卡塔琳娜州 2010 至 2019 年结核病病例特征,并分析结核病发病率的时间趋势,按性别划分。

方法

这是一项时间序列研究,使用来自法定传染病报告信息系统(SINAN)的数据。采用普赖斯-温斯坦(Prais-Winsten)回归模型。

结果

共发现 16446 例新结核病病例。大多数病例发生在男性(68.5%)、20 至 49 岁人群(70.3%)、大弗洛里亚诺波利斯地区(25.1%)和未完成小学教育人群(40.0%)。男性(APC:-1.86%;95%CI:-2.68%;-1.03%)、女性(APC:-1.92%;95%CI:-2.63%;-1.20%)和两性(APC:-1.77%;95%CI:-2.37%;-1.17%)的结核病发病率均呈下降趋势。

结论

在所分析的十年中,圣卡塔琳娜州的结核病发病率在两性中均显著下降。男性、经济活跃年龄人群和受教育程度较低人群占主导地位。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1679/9887987/74acc7788e36/2237-9622-ress-31-03-e20211067-gf2.jpg

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