Natural Resource Policy Group (NARP), Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Land Systems and Sustainable Land Management Unit (LS-SLM), Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Glob Chang Biol. 2024 Feb;30(2):e17195. doi: 10.1111/gcb.17195.
Scientific innovation is overturning conventional paradigms of forest, water, and energy cycle interactions. This has implications for our understanding of the principal causal pathways by which tree, forest, and vegetation cover (TFVC) influence local and global warming/cooling. Many identify surface albedo and carbon sequestration as the principal causal pathways by which TFVC affects global warming/cooling. Moving toward the outer latitudes, in particular, where snow cover is more important, surface albedo effects are perceived to overpower carbon sequestration. By raising surface albedo, deforestation is thus predicted to lead to surface cooling, while increasing forest cover is assumed to result in warming. Observational data, however, generally support the opposite conclusion, suggesting surface albedo is poorly understood. Most accept that surface temperatures are influenced by the interplay of surface albedo, incoming shortwave (SW) radiation, and the partitioning of the remaining, post-albedo, SW radiation into latent and sensible heat. However, the extent to which the avoidance of sensible heat formation is first and foremost mediated by the presence (absence) of water and TFVC is not well understood. TFVC both mediates the availability of water on the land surface and drives the potential for latent heat production (evapotranspiration, ET). While latent heat is more directly linked to local than global cooling/warming, it is driven by photosynthesis and carbon sequestration and powers additional cloud formation and top-of-cloud reflectivity, both of which drive global cooling. TFVC loss reduces water storage, precipitation recycling, and downwind rainfall potential, thus driving the reduction of both ET (latent heat) and cloud formation. By reducing latent heat, cloud formation, and precipitation, deforestation thus powers warming (sensible heat formation), which further diminishes TFVC growth (carbon sequestration). Large-scale tree and forest restoration could, therefore, contribute significantly to both global and surface temperature cooling through the principal causal pathways of carbon sequestration and cloud formation.
科学创新正在颠覆森林、水和能量循环相互作用的传统范式。这对我们理解树木、森林和植被覆盖(TFVC)影响局部和全球变暖/降温的主要因果途径有影响。许多人认为地表反照率和碳封存是 TFVC 影响全球变暖/降温的主要因果途径。向纬度更高的地区,特别是积雪更为重要的地区移动,地表反照率效应被认为超过了碳封存。因此,砍伐森林预计会导致地表冷却,而增加森林覆盖则会导致变暖,这是因为地表反照率的提高。然而,观测数据通常支持相反的结论,表明地表反照率的理解还不够完善。大多数人认为,地表温度受到地表反照率、入射短波(SW)辐射以及剩余后反照率 SW 辐射在潜热和感热之间的分配的相互作用的影响。然而,避免感热形成首先主要受到水和 TFVC 的存在(不存在)的影响的程度还不太清楚。TFVC 既调节陆地表面水的可用性,又驱动潜在热生产(蒸散,ET)的潜力。虽然潜热与局部冷却/变暖的关系更为直接,但它是由光合作用和碳封存驱动的,并为额外的云形成和云顶反射率提供动力,这两者都驱动全球冷却。TFVC 的损失减少了水的储存、降水的再循环和顺风降雨的潜力,从而导致 ET(潜热)和云形成的减少。因此,通过减少潜热、云形成和降水,森林砍伐会引发变暖(感热形成),这进一步削弱了 TFVC 的生长(碳封存)。大规模的树木和森林恢复可以通过碳封存和云形成的主要因果途径,为全球和地表温度的冷却做出重大贡献。