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南水北调工程是否促进了受水区规模以上企业的增长?——来自中国 31 个省级行政区的证据。

Does the South-to-North Water Diversion Project promote the growth of enterprises above designated size in the water-receiving areas?-Evidence from 31 provincial-level administrative regions in China.

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Media Convergence and Communication, Communication University of China, Beijing, China.

School of Economics and Management, Communication University of China, Beijing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Feb 23;19(2):e0297566. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0297566. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

The South-to-North Water Diversion Project (SNWDP) is believed to drive the next phase of sustainable productivity growth, meeting growing water demand, so as to address increasing environmental sustainability challenges. The Middle Route of SNWDP is regarded as an extremely large long-distance inter-basin water diversion project, which has benefited Henan, Hebei, Tianjin and Beijing since 2014 with great sustainable changes to the cities, groundwater, ecological environment, industrial structure and social development of the beneficiary areas. Taking the number of industrial enterprises above designated size (IEDS) in the water-receiving areas as the research object, this paper takes the year of policy implementation 2014 as the basic time point, evaluating the change of the number of IEDS in the beneficiary areas of the Middle Route of SNWDP through difference-in-difference model. The results show that: (1) The Middle Route of SNWDP promotes the additional growth of the number of IEDS in the beneficiary areas. (2) When the Middle Route of SNWDP promotes the growth of the number of IEDS in beneficiary areas, there is no regional difference for regions with different development levels. (3) The reasons why the Middle Route of SNWDP contributes to the additional growth of the number of IEDS are composed of promoting mixed ownership reform of enterprises in beneficiary areas, increasing water supply and increasing population. However, the Middle Route of SNWDP has not had a significant impact on the traditional total factor productivity or the components of production factors, technology and capital. From the final outcome, the South-to-North Water Diversion Project has played a facilitating role in the sustainable development of large-scale enterprises in the water-receiving areas.

摘要

南水北调工程被认为将推动可持续生产力增长的下一阶段,以满足不断增长的用水需求,从而应对日益增加的环境可持续性挑战。南水北调中线工程被认为是一项极其庞大的远距离跨流域调水工程,自 2014 年以来,该工程使河南、河北、天津和北京受益,为受益地区的城市、地下水、生态环境、产业结构和社会发展带来了巨大的可持续变化。本文以受水区规模以上工业企业(IEDS)数量为研究对象,以政策实施的 2014 年为基本时间点,采用倍差法(Difference-in-Difference, DID)模型评估南水北调中线工程受益区 IEDS 数量的变化。结果表明:(1)南水北调中线工程促进了受益地区 IEDS 数量的额外增长。(2)南水北调中线工程促进受益地区 IEDS 数量增长时,不同发展水平地区之间没有区域差异。(3)南水北调中线工程促进 IEDS 数量增长的原因包括促进受益地区企业混合所有制改革、增加供水和增加人口。然而,南水北调中线工程对传统全要素生产率或生产要素、技术和资本的组成部分没有显著影响。从最终结果来看,南水北调工程在促进受水区大型企业的可持续发展方面发挥了促进作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ca14/10889864/b133610c5460/pone.0297566.g001.jpg

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