Sun Ken, Hua Yufeng, He Wenbo, Yan Tianshu, Liu Chang
College of Energy and Power Engineering, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, 450046, China.
School of Water Conservancy, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, 450046, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Dec;29(60):90378-90390. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22044-6. Epub 2022 Jul 23.
The Middle Route Project of South-to-North Water Diversion (MRPSNWD) is a major strategic project to alleviate the serious shortage of water resources in northern China, and it benefited 14 large- and medium-sized cities in Henan, Hebei, Beijing, and Tianjin. Most of the predecessors used qualitative analysis to study the impact of the MRPSNWD on the water-receiving cities (WRCs), and they only considered one aspect of economy, society, resources, and environment, which could not fully reflect the impact of the MRPSNWD on the water-receiving cities. Therefore, based on the data of economic and social resources and environment of the water-receiving cities in the MRPSNWD from 2010 to 2019, an evaluation model based on entropy weight-analytic hierarchy process (AHP) fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was constructed to account for the impacts on the economy-society-resources-environment of the water-receiving cities after the operation of the MRPSNWD and scientifically evaluated the comprehensive benefits of the MRPSNWD. The evaluation results revealed that the economic and environmental impacts of the MRPSNWD on the water-receiving cities were more obvious than those on society and resources. As far as water-receiving cities were concerned, the impact of the Middle Route Project of South-to-North Water Diversion on Zhengzhou, Shijiazhuang, Tianjin, and Beijing was generally higher than that of other cities. As far as the Middle Route Project of South-to-North Water Diversion was concerned, its overall impact on water-receiving cities was relatively slow.
南水北调中线工程是缓解中国北方水资源严重短缺的一项重大战略工程,受益于河南、河北、北京和天津的14座大中型城市。大多数前人采用定性分析来研究南水北调中线工程对受水城市的影响,且仅考虑经济、社会、资源和环境中的某一个方面,无法全面反映南水北调中线工程对受水城市的影响。因此,基于2010—2019年南水北调中线工程受水城市的经济社会资源环境数据,构建了基于熵权—层次分析法(AHP)模糊综合评价法的评价模型,以考量南水北调中线工程运行后对受水城市经济—社会—资源—环境的影响,并对南水北调中线工程的综合效益进行科学评价。评价结果显示,南水北调中线工程对受水城市的经济和环境影响比社会和资源方面更为明显。就受水城市而言,南水北调中线工程对郑州、石家庄、天津和北京的影响普遍高于其他城市。就南水北调中线工程而言,其对受水城市的总体影响相对缓慢。