Yamaoka K, Nakagawa T, Tanaka H, Yasuhara M, Okumura K, Hori R
J Pharmacobiodyn. 1985 Apr;8(4):246-56. doi: 10.1248/bpb1978.8.246.
A nonlinear multiple regression analysis program MULTI2(BAYES) was developed for microcomputers. The Bayesian algorithm which is incorporated in MULTI2 (BAYES) combines the insufficient individual patient data (individual data) with the pharmacokinetic parameters published in literatures (population parameters) to predict the plasma time course of the patient. The program is written in the minimum Microsoft BASIC commands alone to be executable on many personal computers without any modification. The numbers of parameters to estimate, independent variables and dependent variables are not restricted in use of MULTI2(BAYES). The pharmacokinetic models are defined as one pleases by the user. The four nonlinear least squares algorithms, i.e. Gauss-Newton method, damping Gauss-Newton method, modified Marquardt method by Fletcher and simplex method can be selected at user's option. MULTI2(BAYES) calculates the confidence limits of time courses at 95% significant level.
为微型计算机开发了一个非线性多元回归分析程序MULTI2(BAYES)。MULTI2(BAYES)中纳入的贝叶斯算法将个体患者的不充分数据(个体数据)与文献中公布的药代动力学参数(群体参数)相结合,以预测患者的血浆时间进程。该程序仅用最少的微软BASIC命令编写,无需任何修改即可在许多个人计算机上运行。在使用MULTI2(BAYES)时,待估计参数、自变量和因变量的数量不受限制。药代动力学模型可由用户随意定义。用户可以选择四种非线性最小二乘法算法,即高斯-牛顿法、阻尼高斯-牛顿法、Fletcher修正的Marquardt法和单纯形法。MULTI2(BAYES)计算95%显著水平下时间进程的置信限。