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部分线性单指标治愈模型与非参数发生率链接函数。

Partly linear single-index cure models with a nonparametric incidence link function.

机构信息

Department of Applied Mathematics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong.

Hong Kong Polytechnic University Shenzhen Research Institute, Shenzhen, China.

出版信息

Stat Methods Med Res. 2024 Mar;33(3):498-514. doi: 10.1177/09622802241227960. Epub 2024 Feb 23.

Abstract

In cancer studies, it is commonplace that a fraction of patients participating in the study are , such that not all of them will experience a recurrence, or death due to cancer. Also, it is plausible that some covariates, such as the treatment assigned to the patients or demographic characteristics, could affect both the patients' survival rates and cure/incidence rates. A common approach to accommodate these features in survival analysis is to consider a mixture cure survival model with the incidence rate modeled by a logistic regression model and latency part modeled by the Cox proportional hazards model. These modeling assumptions, though typical, restrict the structure of covariate effects on both the incidence and latency components. As a plausible recourse to attain flexibility, we study a class of semiparametric mixture cure models in this article, which incorporates two single-index functions for modeling the two regression components. A hybrid nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation method is proposed, where the cumulative baseline hazard function for uncured subjects is estimated nonparametrically, and the two single-index functions are estimated via Bernstein polynomials. Parameter estimation is carried out via a curated expectation-maximization algorithm. We also conducted a large-scale simulation study to assess the finite-sample performance of the estimator. The proposed methodology is illustrated via application to two cancer datasets.

摘要

在癌症研究中,常见的情况是,参与研究的患者中有一部分是这样的,并非所有患者都会经历癌症复发或死亡。此外,一些协变量,如分配给患者的治疗或人口统计学特征,可能会同时影响患者的生存率和治愈率/发病率。在生存分析中,一种常见的方法是考虑使用混合治愈生存模型,其中发病率由逻辑回归模型建模,潜伏期部分由 Cox 比例风险模型建模。这些建模假设虽然典型,但限制了协变量对发病率和潜伏期两部分的影响结构。为了获得灵活性,我们在本文中研究了一类半参数混合治愈模型,该模型为两个回归分量建模了两个单指标函数。提出了一种混合非参数最大似然估计方法,其中未治愈患者的累积基线风险函数采用非参数方法估计,两个单指标函数采用 Bernstein 多项式估计。通过精心设计的期望最大化算法进行参数估计。我们还进行了大规模的模拟研究,以评估估计器的有限样本性能。通过应用于两个癌症数据集来说明所提出的方法。

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