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评估考虑经济、社会和环境因素的可再生能源发展策略:案例研究。

Evaluating strategies for developing renewable energies considering economic, social, and environmental aspects: a case study.

机构信息

Institute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang, Vietnam.

School of Engineering & Technology, Duy Tan University, Da Nang, Vietnam.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Apr;31(16):23697-23718. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-32612-7. Epub 2024 Mar 1.

Abstract

Due to fast industrial expansion and the increasing population in Vietnam, this country is confronting a mounting lack of energy. While this country has considerable renewable energy (RE) potentials, including wind, solar, biomass, and hydropower sources, it has yet to exploit them entirely because of a lack of proper planning. This research aimed to find and assess solutions for encouraging RE growth in Vietnam. RE development solutions were formulated through SWOT analysis and evaluated in terms of their social, economic, and environmental dimensions. The SWARA approach weighed the strategy evaluation criteria. The most influential sub-criteria were initial investment cost, reduction of adverse environmental impacts, and natural capacity of the region, with weights of 0.155, 0.127, and 0.114, respectively. Strategy evaluation was performed using the Gray ARAS, and the results were validated with the Gray COPRAS, the Gray TOPSIS-G, and the Gray MABAC. In the strategy ranking, the top strategy is to reduce the cost of renewable power generation. This can be achieved by using advanced technologies and promoting cooperation between domestic and foreign industries and companies. Increasing domestic and foreign investment in RE infrastructure by providing financial facilities for investors, developing domestic and international cooperation, and creating a competitive environment between different companies to reduce electricity production costs were the most suitable strategies.

摘要

由于越南工业的快速扩张和人口的不断增加,该国面临着日益严重的能源短缺问题。尽管该国拥有相当大的可再生能源(RE)潜力,包括风能、太阳能、生物质能和水能,但由于缺乏适当的规划,尚未充分利用这些能源。本研究旨在寻找和评估鼓励越南可再生能源发展的解决方案。通过 SWOT 分析制定了可再生能源发展解决方案,并从社会、经济和环境方面对其进行了评估。SWARA 方法对战略评估标准进行了加权。最具影响力的子标准是初始投资成本、减少对环境的不利影响和该地区的自然能力,权重分别为 0.155、0.127 和 0.114。使用灰色 ARAS 进行了战略评估,并使用灰色 COPRAS、灰色 TOPSIS-G 和灰色 MABAC 进行了验证。在战略排名中,最优先的战略是降低可再生能源发电的成本。这可以通过使用先进技术、促进国内外产业和公司之间的合作来实现。为投资者提供融资便利、发展国内外合作、在不同公司之间创造竞争环境以降低电力生产成本,是最适合的策略。

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