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越南的环境可持续性:评估经济全球化、可再生能源和自然资源的关键性。

Environmental sustainability in Vietnam: evaluating the criticality of economic globalisation, renewable energy, and natural resources.

机构信息

Faculty of Economics, Administrative and Social Science, Department of Economics, Bahçeşehir Cyprus University, Northern Cyprus, Mersin 10, Nicosia, Turkey.

Economics Department, Near East University, Mersin 10, Nicosia, 99138, North Cyprus, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jun;30(30):75581-75594. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-27683-x. Epub 2023 May 24.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-27683-x
PMID:37222893
Abstract

Vietnam's goal of achieving a certain level of decarbonisation by 2030 is difficult despite its awareness of the threat posed by climate change. However, the country is endowed with natural resources and the increasing dependence on the global economy coupled with greater investment in alternative energy sources are some of the factors responsible for economic expansion in recent years. Hence, the question arises "what are the environmental impacts of economic globalisation, economic growth, natural resources, and renewable energy in Vietnam?", which constitutes a major policy problem. In this study, a time series dataset stretching from 1984 to 2019 is employed to scrutinise the impact of economic globalisation, economic growth, natural resources, and renewable energy on Vietnam's CO emissions. This goal is achieved by employing the ARDL bounds testing procedure, dynamic ARDL, and spectral Granger-causality test. Moreover, the outcomes from the dynamic ARDL showed that economic globalisation and economic growth lead to environmental deterioration, whereas it is mitigated by renewable energy. Lastly, the outcomes from the spectral Granger-causality test indicate that a feedback causality association exists between CO emissions and the regressors, namely economic globalisation, renewable energy, and economic growth, while no causality connection exists between CO emissions and natural resources. Hence, we suggest that actions for reducing emissions should involve the implementation of energy-efficient techniques and renewable technologies within the energy value chain.

摘要

越南尽管意识到气候变化带来的威胁,但要在 2030 年实现一定程度的脱碳目标仍然困难。然而,该国拥有自然资源,对全球经济的依赖程度不断提高,加上对替代能源的投资增加,是近年来经济扩张的部分原因。因此,出现了一个问题:“经济全球化、经济增长、自然资源和可再生能源对越南的二氧化碳排放有何影响?”,这构成了一个主要的政策问题。在这项研究中,使用了一个从 1984 年到 2019 年的时间序列数据集,来研究经济全球化、经济增长、自然资源和可再生能源对越南二氧化碳排放的影响。这一目标是通过使用 ARDL 边界检验程序、动态 ARDL 和频谱格兰杰因果检验来实现的。此外,动态 ARDL 的结果表明,经济全球化和经济增长导致了环境恶化,而可再生能源则减轻了这种恶化。最后,频谱格兰杰因果检验的结果表明,二氧化碳排放与回归变量(即经济全球化、可再生能源和经济增长)之间存在反馈因果关系,而二氧化碳排放与自然资源之间不存在因果关系。因此,我们建议采取减少排放的行动,应在能源价值链内实施节能技术和可再生技术。

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