School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, 100084, Beijing, China.
Huaneng Yangtze Environmental Technology Research Institute, 102209, Beijing, China.
J Environ Manage. 2024 Mar;355:120307. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120307. Epub 2024 Mar 1.
Addressing global carbon inequality constitutes an important task for both international negotiations on climate-change mitigation and the achievement of sustainable development goals. Soaring international trade might become a vigorous modifier for reducing global carbon inequality through production reallocation and economic boosts in different countries. However, this effect remains largely unexplored, not only because of little awareness of the windfall benefits from international trade but also because of debates on quantifying global carbon inequality from both production- and consumption-based perspectives. To avoid incomplete implications from a single perspective, this study first adapted a producer-consumer shared responsibility to evaluate global carbon inequality using the technology-adjusted consumption-based accounting method for 189 countries from 2006 to 2016. A dynamic panel data model was developed to examine the different channels through which international trade affects global carbon inequality in developed and developing countries. The results demonstrate that even with increasing carbon emissions, less global carbon inequality was witnessed from 2006 to 2016. International trade plays an important role in reducing global carbon inequality, mostly by stimulating the economy and increasing household income in developing countries. However, production reallocation via international trade fails in reducing the emission responsibilities of developed countries, rendering this futile in alleviating global carbon inequality. Carbon leakage that transfers carbon-intensive production across borders can lead to this unintended result, and more stringent cross-border regulations such as the carbon border adjustment mechanism can be effective. This study not only highlights the pivotal role of international trade in reducing global carbon inequality but also the future direction of international cooperation on climate change mitigation in a globalized world.
解决全球碳不平等问题是气候变化减缓国际谈判和实现可持续发展目标的重要任务。国际贸易的飙升可能成为通过生产再分配和不同国家的经济增长来减少全球碳不平等的有力手段。然而,这种影响在很大程度上尚未得到探索,不仅因为人们对国际贸易的意外之财认识不足,还因为从生产和消费角度量化全球碳不平等的争论。为了避免从单一角度得出不完整的结论,本研究首先采用生产者-消费者共同责任的方法,使用调整后的技术消费基础核算方法,从 2006 年到 2016 年,对 189 个国家的全球碳不平等进行了评估。开发了一个动态面板数据模型,以检验国际贸易通过哪些不同渠道影响发达国家和发展中国家的全球碳不平等。结果表明,即使碳排放不断增加,从 2006 年到 2016 年,全球碳不平等程度仍有所下降。国际贸易在减少全球碳不平等方面发挥了重要作用,主要是通过刺激发展中国家的经济和增加家庭收入。然而,国际贸易导致的生产再分配在减少发达国家的排放责任方面收效甚微,因此无法缓解全球碳不平等。碳泄漏将碳密集型生产转移到境外可能导致这种意想不到的结果,更严格的跨境监管,如碳边境调整机制,可以是有效的。本研究不仅强调了国际贸易在减少全球碳不平等方面的关键作用,还强调了在全球化世界中,未来国际气候变化减缓合作的方向。