Kalisch B J, Kalisch P A, Belcher B
Nurs Res. 1985 Jan-Feb;34(1):44-9.
A prototype of a news-based forecasting model was developed as an aid to policymaking in nursing and to assist in setting priorities for promoting an effective image of nursing. Newspaper articles about nursing were analyzed each month from 1978 to 1981. A model, constructed to show the effects of key nursing tissues on the image of nursing, was estimated using Ridge Regression to determine the direction and magnitude of the effect that each of the key issues had on the image of nursing. It was determined that newspaper articles that show nurses in clinical settings and articles that show nurses as playing a major role are the most important factors in projecting a positive image of nursing. The model was used to construct forecasts for the image of nursing from 1982 to 1984. The image of nursing was forecasted to improve over this period, primarily because of a projected increase in the number of articles that show nurses in this positive image.
开发了一个基于新闻的预测模型原型，以辅助护理政策制定，并协助确定提升护理有效形象的优先事项。从1978年到1981年，每月分析有关护理的报纸文章。构建了一个模型来展示关键护理组织对护理形象的影响，使用岭回归估计该模型，以确定每个关键问题对护理形象影响的方向和程度。研究确定，展示护士在临床环境中的报纸文章以及展示护士发挥主要作用的文章是塑造护理积极形象的最重要因素。该模型用于预测1982年至1984年的护理形象。预计在此期间护理形象将得到改善，主要原因是预计展示护士正面形象的文章数量会增加。
