脓毒症患者死亡风险预测模型及心肌损伤患者预后生物标志物的筛选
Prediction model of death risk in patients with sepsis and screening of biomarkers for prognosis of patients with myocardial injury.
作者信息
Qian Weiwei, Han Cunqiao, Xie Shenglong, Xu Shuyun
机构信息
Laboratory of Emergency Medicine, West China Hospital, and Disaster Medical Center, Sichuan University, Chengdou, 610041, PR China.
Shangjinnanfu Hospital, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, PR China.
出版信息
Heliyon. 2024 Feb 29;10(5):e27209. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27209. eCollection 2024 Mar 15.
This study aimed to create a robust prediction model for sepsis patient mortality and identify key biomarkers in those with myocardial injury. A retrospective analysis of 261 sepsis inpatients was conducted, with 44 deaths and 217 recoveries. Key factors were assessed via univariate and multivariate analyses, revealing myocardial injury, shock, and pulmonary infection as independent mortality risk factors. Using LASSO regression, a reliable prediction model was developed and internally validated. Additionally, procalcitonin (PCT) emerged as a sensitive biomarker for myocardial injury prediction in sepsis patients. In summary, this study highlights myocardial injury, shock, and pulmonary infection as independent risk factors for sepsis-related deaths. The LASSO-based prediction model effectively forecasts the prognosis of septic patients with myocardial injury, with PCT showing promise as a predictive biomarker.
本研究旨在建立一个用于预测脓毒症患者死亡率的稳健模型,并识别心肌损伤患者的关键生物标志物。对261例脓毒症住院患者进行了回顾性分析,其中44例死亡,217例康复。通过单因素和多因素分析评估关键因素,结果显示心肌损伤、休克和肺部感染是独立的死亡风险因素。使用套索回归法建立了一个可靠的预测模型并进行了内部验证。此外,降钙素原(PCT)成为脓毒症患者心肌损伤预测的敏感生物标志物。总之,本研究强调心肌损伤、休克和肺部感染是脓毒症相关死亡的独立风险因素。基于套索回归的预测模型能有效预测合并心肌损伤的脓毒症患者的预后,PCT有望成为一种预测性生物标志物。
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