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序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)和急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统III(APSIII)对脓毒症诱导的心肌损伤(SIMI)患者28天死亡风险的预测价值:一项基于多中心重症医学信息数据库-4(MIMIC-IV)的队列研究

The predictive value of SOFA and APSIII scores for 28-day mortality risk in SIMI: a cohort study based on the MIMIC-IV database.

作者信息

Liu Chang, Wang Hao, Liu Chenyang, Cao Min

机构信息

Longhua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Front Cell Infect Microbiol. 2025 Jul 29;15:1574625. doi: 10.3389/fcimb.2025.1574625. eCollection 2025.


DOI:10.3389/fcimb.2025.1574625
PMID:40799939
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12339570/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to systematically identify and evaluate scoring systems that predict the prognosis of patients with sepsis-induced myocardial injury (SIMI). METHODS: Data were retrieved from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Logistic and Cox regression analyses were conducted to identify risk factors associated with 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis-induced myocardial injury (SIMI). The prognostic performance of the scoring systems was comprehensively assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan-Meier survival and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed that Acute Physiology Score III (APSIII) (Odds Ratio [OR] =1.011, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.002-1.018, P=0.005), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) (OR =1.097, 95% CI 1.045-1.144, P<0.001), and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CHARLSON) (OR=1.095, 95% CI 1.048-1.145, P=0.036) were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in SIMI patients. Cox regression analysis confirmed that SOFA (HR=1.082, 95% CI 1.054- 1.111, P<0.001), APSIII (HR=1.010, 95% CI 1.005-1.015, P<0.001), and CHARLSON (HR=1.044, 95% CI 1.012-1.077, P=0.007) were independent risk factors. ROC curve analysis showed that SOFA (AUC=0.685, 95% CI 0.663-0.707) and APSIII (AUC=0.683, 95% CI 0.662-0.705) had significantly higher AUC values compared to other scoring systems. DCA results showed that APSIII and SOFA had better net benefit than other scoring systems. CONCLUSIONS: The SOFA and APSIII scores effectively identified high-risk patients with SIMI, providing evidence-based support for early clinical intervention.

摘要

目的:本研究的目的是系统地识别和评估预测脓毒症诱导的心肌损伤(SIMI)患者预后的评分系统。 方法:从重症监护医学信息集市IV(MIMIC-IV)数据库中检索数据。进行逻辑回归和Cox回归分析,以确定脓毒症诱导的心肌损伤(SIMI)患者28天死亡率的相关危险因素。使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线、Kaplan-Meier生存分析和决策曲线分析(DCA)全面评估评分系统的预后性能。 结果:逻辑回归分析显示,急性生理学评分III(APSIII)(比值比[OR]=1.011,95%置信区间[CI]1.002-1.018,P=0.005)、序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)(OR =1.097,95%CI 1.045-1.144,P<0.001)和Charlson合并症指数(CHARLSON)(OR=1.095,95%CI 1.048-1.145,P=0.036)是SIMI患者28天死亡率的独立危险因素。Cox回归分析证实,SOFA(风险比[HR]=1.082,95%CI 1.054-1.111,P<0.001)、APSIII(HR=1.010,95%CI 1.005-1.015,P<0.001)和CHARLSON(HR=1.044,95%CI 1.012-1.077,P=0.007)是独立危险因素。ROC曲线分析显示,与其他评分系统相比,SOFA(曲线下面积[AUC]=0.685,95%CI 0.663-0.707)和APSIII(AUC=0.683,95%CI 0.662-0.705)的AUC值显著更高。DCA结果显示,APSIII和SOFA的净效益优于其他评分系统。 结论:SOFA和APSIII评分有效地识别了SIMI高危患者,为早期临床干预提供了循证支持。

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Mitochondrial transplantation rescues Ca homeostasis imbalance and myocardial hypertrophy in SLC25A3-related hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

Cell Rep. 2024-12-24

[2]
Comparative analysis of Glasgow Coma Scale, quick Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment, base excess, and lactate for mortality prediction in critically ill emergency department patients.

Turk J Emerg Med. 2024-10-1

[3]
Metformin Mitigates Sepsis-Induced Acute Lung Injury and Inflammation in Young Mice by Suppressing the S100A8/A9-NLRP3-IL-1β Signaling Pathway.

J Inflamm Res. 2024-6-12

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Development of a nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis and sepsis.

Sci Rep. 2024-4-29

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Risk Manag Healthc Policy. 2024-4-23

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J Infect Dev Ctries. 2024-1-31

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Testosterone and soluble ST2 as mortality predictive biomarkers in male patients with sepsis-induced cardiomyopathy.

Front Med (Lausanne). 2024-1-8

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Modified Cardiovascular Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score in Sepsis: External Validation in Intensive Care Unit Patients.

J Korean Med Sci. 2023-12-25

[10]
Analysis of Prognostic Risk Factors of Sepsis Patients With Myocardial Injury: Six-month Survival Outcome.

Altern Ther Health Med. 2023-11

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