Jiang Peihua, Shi Longmei
School of Mathematics-physics and Finance, Anhui Polytechnic University, Wuhu 241000, China.
Math Biosci Eng. 2024 Feb 1;21(2):3146-3164. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2024140.
Competing failure models with degradation phenomena and sudden failures are becoming more and more common and important in practice. In this study, the generalized pivotal quantity method was proposed to investigate the modeling of competing failure problems involving both degradation and sudden failures. In the competing failure model, the degradation failure was modeled through a Wiener process and the sudden failure was described as a Weibull distribution. For point estimation, the maximum likelihood estimations of parameters $ \mu $ and $ \sigma^2 $ were provided and the inverse estimation of parameters $ \eta $ and $ \beta $ were derived. The exact confidence intervals for parameters $ \mu $, $ \sigma^2 $, and $ \beta $ were obtained. Furthermore, the generalized confidence interval of parameter $ \eta $ was obtained through constructing the generalized pivotal quantity. Using the substitution principle, the generalized confidence intervals for the reliability function, the $ p $th percentile of lifetime, and the mean time to failure were also obtained. Simulation technique was carried out to evaluate the performance of the proposed generalized confidence intervals. The simulation results showed that the proposed generalized confidence interval was effective in terms of coverage percentage. Finally, an example was presented to illustrate the application of the proposed method.
具有退化现象和突发故障的竞争失效模型在实际中越来越普遍且重要。在本研究中,提出了广义枢轴量法来研究涉及退化和突发故障的竞争失效问题的建模。在竞争失效模型中,退化失效通过维纳过程建模,突发故障描述为威布尔分布。对于点估计,给出了参数(\mu)和(\sigma^2)的最大似然估计,并推导了参数(\eta)和(\beta)的逆估计。获得了参数(\mu)、(\sigma^2)和(\beta)的精确置信区间。此外,通过构造广义枢轴量获得了参数(\eta)的广义置信区间。利用替换原理,还获得了可靠性函数、寿命的第(p)百分位数和平均失效时间的广义置信区间。进行了仿真技术来评估所提出的广义置信区间的性能。仿真结果表明,所提出的广义置信区间在覆盖率方面是有效的。最后,给出了一个例子来说明所提出方法的应用。