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50 岁以上人群腹主动脉瘤筛查:中上收入国家的一项试点研究。

Screening Men and Women above the Age of 50 Years for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: A Pilot Study in an Upper Middle Income Country.

机构信息

Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia; Clinic for Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia.

Institute of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.

出版信息

Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2024 Jul;68(1):10-15. doi: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2024.03.003. Epub 2024 Mar 7.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is recommended in high risk populations based on local conditions. Differences in lifestyle and risk factors between countries with different income status make risk stratification based on geographic location necessary. The majority of epidemiological studies on AAA have reported data from high income countries. The aim of this study was to explore the prevalence and risk factors for AAA in an upper middle income country in Eastern Europe.

METHODS

A pilot screening project for AAA, supported by a mass media campaign, was conducted in 2023 in seven cities in Serbia. Ultrasound evaluation of the abdominal aorta was performed by a registered vascular surgeon on individuals who agreed to participate. Participants who attended screening completed a questionnaire on demographic and clinical information. To assess risk factors for AAA, univariable logistic regression analysis was performed to compute the odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Multivariable logistic regression was subsequently performed with adjustments for sex, age, family history of AAA, and other relevant factors.

RESULTS

A total of 4 046 participants (51.2% male and 48.8% female; mean age 68.8 ± 7.6 years) responded to the campaign. An aneurysm was found in 195 (4.8%) screened individuals (8.2% of men and 1.3% of women). In males aged 50 - 64 years, the prevalence of AAA was 5.4%. Male sex, older age, family history of AAA, being a smoker or ex-smoker, being overweight, and alcohol consumption were predictors of AAA in the univariable analysis. After adjustments in the multivariable analysis, male sex (OR 8.04, 95% CI 4.87 - 13.28), older age (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.07), positive family history (OR 2.47, 95% CI 1.61 - 3.78), smoker status (OR 3.10, 95% CI 2.10 - 4.59), ex-smoker status (OR 2.13, 95% CI 1.39 - 3.27), and being overweight (OR 1.85, 95% CI 1.25 - 2.74) were independent risk factors for AAA.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of AAA has not been reduced in all countries, and screening strategies might be changed based on local epidemiological data. The results of this pilot study underline the importance of exploring the prevalence of AAA in populations with a high prevalence of smoking.

摘要

目的

基于当地情况,建议在高危人群中进行腹主动脉瘤(AAA)筛查。不同收入水平国家的生活方式和危险因素存在差异,因此有必要根据地理位置进行风险分层。大多数关于 AAA 的流行病学研究都报告了来自高收入国家的数据。本研究旨在探讨东欧一个中等偏上收入国家的 AAA 患病率和危险因素。

方法

2023 年,在塞尔维亚的 7 个城市开展了一项由大众媒体宣传支持的 AAA 初步筛查项目。由注册血管外科医生对同意参加的个体进行腹部主动脉的超声评估。参加筛查的参与者填写了一份关于人口统计学和临床信息的问卷。为了评估 AAA 的危险因素,采用单变量逻辑回归分析计算优势比(OR)及其 95%置信区间(CI)。随后进行多变量逻辑回归分析,并调整性别、年龄、AAA 家族史和其他相关因素。

结果

共有 4046 名参与者(51.2%为男性,48.8%为女性;平均年龄 68.8±7.6 岁)对该活动做出了回应。在筛查的个体中发现了 195 个(4.8%)动脉瘤(男性占 8.2%,女性占 1.3%)。在 50-64 岁的男性中,AAA 的患病率为 5.4%。男性、年龄较大、AAA 家族史、吸烟或曾吸烟、超重和饮酒是单变量分析中 AAA 的预测因素。在多变量分析调整后,男性(OR 8.04,95%CI 4.87-13.28)、年龄较大(OR 1.04,95%CI 1.02-1.07)、阳性家族史(OR 2.47,95%CI 1.61-3.78)、吸烟者(OR 3.10,95%CI 2.10-4.59)、曾吸烟者(OR 2.13,95%CI 1.39-3.27)和超重(OR 1.85,95%CI 1.25-2.74)是 AAA 的独立危险因素。

结论

AAA 的患病率并未在所有国家降低,筛查策略可能会根据当地的流行病学数据进行改变。这项初步研究的结果强调了在吸烟率较高的人群中探索 AAA 患病率的重要性。

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