AIMS

To estimate, in the setting of recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (R/M NPC) for an assumed 1,207 incident US cases in 2024, (1) the cost-efficiency of a toripalimab-gemcitabine-cisplatin regimen compared to a similar pembrolizumab regimen; and (2) the budget-neutral expanded access to additional toripalimab cycles and regimens afforded by the accrued savings.

METHODS

Simulation modeling utilized two cost inputs (wholesale acquisition cost (WAC) at market entry and an toripalimab price point of 80% of pembrolizumab average sales price (ASP)) and drug administration costs over 1 and 2 years of treatment with treatment rates ranging from 45% to 90%. In the absence of trial data for pembrolizumab-gemcitabine-cisplatin in R/M NPC, it is assumed that such a regimen would be comparable to toripalimab-gemcitabine-cisplatin in efficacy and safety.

RESULTS

In the models utilizing the WAC, toripalimab saves $2,223 per patient per cycle and $40,014 over 1 year of treatment ($77,805 over 2 years). Extrapolated to the 1,207-patient panel, estimated 1-year savings range from $21,733,702 (45% treatment rate) to $43,467,404 (90% rate). Reallocating these savings permits budget-neutral expanded access to an additional 2,359 (45% rate) to 4,717 (90% rate) toripalimab maintenance cycles or to an additional 126 (45% rate) to 252 (90%) full 1-year toripalimab regimens with all agents. Two-year savings range from $42,259,976 (45% rate) to $84,519,952 (90% rate). Reallocating these efficiencies provides expanded access, ranging from an additional 4,586 (45% rate) to 9,172 (90% rate) toripalimab cycles or to an additional 128-257 full 2-year toripalimab regimens. The ASP model showed similar results.

CONCLUSION

This simulation demonstrates that treatment with toripalimab generates savings that enable budget-neutral funding for up to an additional 252 regimens with toripalimab-gemcitabine-cisplatin for one full year, the equivalent of approximately 21% of the 2024 incident cases of R/M NPC in the US.