Department of Colorectal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Eur Geriatr Med. 2024 Apr;15(2):471-479. doi: 10.1007/s41999-024-00960-9. Epub 2024 Mar 15.
To clarify the predictive performance of different measures of frailty, including Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), 11-factor modified Frailty Index (mFI-11), and 5-factor modified Frailty Index (mFI-5), on adverse outcomes.
PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and other databases were retrieved from the inception of each database to June 2023. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the summary receiver operating curve (SROC) values were analyzed to determine the predictive power of CFS, mFI-11, and mFI-5 for adverse outcomes.
A total of 25 studies were included in quantitative synthesis. The pooled sensitivity values of CFS for predicting anastomotic leakage, total complications, and major complications were 0.39, 0.57, 0.45; pooled specificity values were 0.70, 0.58, 0.73; the area under SROC values were 0.58, 0.6, 0.66. The pooled sensitivity values of mFI-11 for predicting total complications and delirium were 0.38 and 0.64; pooled specificity values were 0.83 and 0.72; the area under SROC values were 0.64 and 0.74. The pooled sensitivity values of mFI-5 for predicting total complications, 30-day mortality, and major complications were 0.27, 0.54, 0.25; pooled specificity values were 0.82, 0.84, 0.81; the area under SROC values were 0.63, 0.82, 0.5.
The results showed that CFS could predict anastomotic leakage, total complications, and major complications; mFI-11 could predict total complications and delirium; mFI-5 could predict total complications and 30-day mortality. More high-quality research is needed to support the conclusions of this study further.
明确不同衰弱评估工具(临床衰弱量表[CFS]、11 因素改良衰弱指数[mFI-11]和 5 因素改良衰弱指数[mFI-5])对不良结局的预测性能。
从各数据库创建时间至 2023 年 6 月,检索 PubMed、Embase、Web of Science 和其他数据库。分析汇总受试者工作特征曲线(SROC)下的灵敏度、特异度和面积值,以确定 CFS、mFI-11 和 mFI-5 对不良结局的预测能力。
共纳入 25 项定量研究。CFS 预测吻合口漏、总并发症和主要并发症的合并灵敏度值分别为 0.39、0.57 和 0.45,合并特异度值分别为 0.70、0.58 和 0.73,SROC 曲线下面积值分别为 0.58、0.6 和 0.66。mFI-11 预测总并发症和谵妄的合并灵敏度值分别为 0.38 和 0.64,合并特异度值分别为 0.83 和 0.72,SROC 曲线下面积值分别为 0.64 和 0.74。mFI-5 预测总并发症、30 天死亡率和主要并发症的合并灵敏度值分别为 0.27、0.54 和 0.25,合并特异度值分别为 0.82、0.84 和 0.81,SROC 曲线下面积值分别为 0.63、0.82 和 0.5。
结果表明,CFS 可预测吻合口漏、总并发症和主要并发症;mFI-11 可预测总并发症和谵妄;mFI-5 可预测总并发症和 30 天死亡率。需要更多高质量的研究来进一步支持本研究的结论。