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新冠疫情国家应对措施对新加坡初级保健利用的影响:一项中断时间序列分析。

Impact of COVID-19 national response on primary care utilisation in Singapore: an interrupted time-series analysis.

机构信息

Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, 12 Science Drive 2, #09-01T, Singapore, 117549, Singapore.

Department of Statistics and Data Science, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Mar 17;14(1):6408. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-57142-7.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-024-57142-7
PMID:38494533
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10944837/
Abstract

Since the start of the pandemic, many national responses, such as nationwide lockdowns, have been implemented to curb the spread of COVID-19. We aim to assess the impact of Singapore's national responses on primary care utilisation. We performed an interrupted time series using acute and chronic primary care data of 3 168 578 visits between 1 September 2019 and 31 August 2020 over four periods: before any measures were put in place, during Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (DORSCON) Orange, when Circuit Breaker was instituted, and when Circuit Breaker was lifted. We found significant mean reductions in acute and chronic primary care visits immediately following DORSCON Orange and Circuit Breaker. DORSCON Orange was associated with - 2020 mean daily visits (95% CI - 2890 to - 1150). Circuit Breaker was associated with a further - 2510 mean daily visits (95% CI - 3660 to - 1360). Primary care utilisation for acute visits remained below baseline levels even after the Circuit Breaker was lifted. These significant reductions were observed in both acute and chronic visits, with acute visits experiencing a steeper drop during DORSCON Orange. Understanding the impact of COVID-19 measures on primary care utilisation will be useful for future public health planning.

摘要

自疫情开始以来,许多国家采取了措施,例如全国封锁,以遏制 COVID-19 的传播。我们旨在评估新加坡国家应对措施对初级保健利用的影响。我们使用了 2019 年 9 月 1 日至 2020 年 8 月 31 日期间的急性和慢性初级保健数据进行了中断时间序列分析,共涉及 3168578 次就诊,分为四个时期:在采取任何措施之前、橙色疾病暴发应对系统条件(DORSCON)期间、实施断路器期间和断路器解除期间。我们发现,橙色 DORSCON 和断路器实施后,急性和慢性初级保健就诊量均显著减少。橙色 DORSCON 与每日平均就诊量减少 2020 次(95%CI:-2890 至-1150)相关。断路器与每日平均就诊量进一步减少 2510 次(95%CI:-3660 至-1360)相关。即使断路器解除后,急性就诊的利用率仍低于基线水平。在急性和慢性就诊中均观察到这些显著减少,橙色 DORSCON 期间急性就诊的下降幅度更大。了解 COVID-19 措施对初级保健利用率的影响,将有助于未来的公共卫生规划。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9ce1/10944837/4bba9c1683d6/41598_2024_57142_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9ce1/10944837/4bba9c1683d6/41598_2024_57142_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9ce1/10944837/4bba9c1683d6/41598_2024_57142_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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