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缺血性心脏病死亡率的辐射剂量反应关系的形状及其解释:辐射工作人员国家登记册(NRRW)队列的分析。

Shape of radiation dose response relationship for ischaemic heart disease mortality and its interpretation: analysis of the national registry for radiation workers (NRRW) cohort.

机构信息

Radiation, Chemical and Environment Hazards Directorate, UK Health Security Agency, Chilton, Didcot OX11 0RQ, United Kingdom.

出版信息

J Radiol Prot. 2024 Apr 4;44(2). doi: 10.1088/1361-6498/ad37c7.

Abstract

Statistically significant increases in ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality with cumulative occupational external radiation dose were observed in the National Registry for Radiation Workers (NRRW) cohort. There were 174 541 subjects in the NRRW cohort. The start of follow up was 1955, and the end of the follow-up for each worker was chosen as the earliest date of death or emigration, their 85th birthday or 31 December 2011. The dose-response relationship showed a downward curvature at a higher dose level >0.4 Sv with the overall shape of the dose-response relationship best described by a linear-quadratic model. The smaller risk at dose >0.4 Sv appears to be primarily associated with workers who started employment at a younger age (<30 years old) and those who were employed for more than 30 years. We modelled the dose response by age-at-first exposure. For the age-at-first exposure of 30+ years old, a linear dose-response was the best fit. For age-at-first exposure <30 years old, there was no evidence of excess risk of IHD mortality for radiation doses below 0.1 Sv or above 0.4 Sv, excess risk was only observed for doses between 0.1-0.4 Sv. For this age-at-first exposure group, it was also found that the doses they received when they were less than 35 years old or greater than 50 years old did not contribute to any increased IHD risk.

摘要

在国家辐射工作者登记册(NRRW)队列中,累积职业外照射剂量与缺血性心脏病(IHD)死亡率呈统计学显著相关增加。NRRW 队列中有 174541 名受试者。随访开始于 1955 年,每个工人的随访结束日期选择为死亡或移民的最早日期、他们的 85 岁生日或 2011 年 12 月 31 日。剂量反应关系在较高剂量水平(>0.4Sv)处呈现出向下的曲率,整体剂量反应关系的形状最好由线性二次模型描述。在剂量>0.4Sv 处风险较小,似乎主要与年龄较小(<30 岁)开始工作的工人和工作超过 30 年的工人有关。我们通过首次暴露年龄对剂量反应进行建模。对于首次暴露年龄为 30 岁以上的人群,线性剂量反应是最佳拟合。对于首次暴露年龄<30 岁的人群,在 0.1Sv 以下或 0.4Sv 以上的辐射剂量下,没有观察到 IHD 死亡率的超额风险,仅在 0.1-0.4Sv 之间的剂量观察到超额风险。对于这个首次暴露年龄组,还发现他们在 35 岁以下或 50 岁以上时接受的剂量不会导致任何增加的 IHD 风险。

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